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The proliferation of automated inference algorithms in Bayesian statistics has provided practitioners newfound access to fast, reproducible data analysis and powerful statistical models. Designing automated methods that are also both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Trevor Campbell , Boyan Beronov

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Understanding the uncertainty of a neural network's (NN) predictions is essential for many purposes. The Bayesian framework provides a principled approach to this, however applying it to NNs is challenging due to large numbers of parameters…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-02-27 Tim Pearce , Felix Leibfried , Alexandra Brintrup , Mohamed Zaki , Andy Neely

We consider Bayesian optimization of the output of a network of functions, where each function takes as input the output of its parent nodes, and where the network takes significant time to evaluate. Such problems arise, for example, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-01-03 Raul Astudillo , Peter I. Frazier

We concern computer model calibration problem where the goal is to find the parameters that minimize the discrepancy between the multivariate real-world and computer model outputs. We propose to solve an approximation using signed residuals…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-26 Yongseok Jeon , Sara Shashaani

Casting machine learning as a type of search, we demonstrate that the proportion of problems that are favorable for a fixed algorithm is strictly bounded, such that no single algorithm can perform well over a large fraction of them. Our…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-04-20 George D. Montanez

Bayesian optimization is a sample-efficient approach to global optimization that relies on theoretically motivated value heuristics (acquisition functions) to guide its search process. Fully maximizing acquisition functions produces the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-12-04 James T. Wilson , Frank Hutter , Marc Peter Deisenroth

Search-base algorithms have widespread applications in different scenarios. Grover's quantum search algorithms and its generalization, amplitude amplification, provide a quadratic speedup over classical search algorithms for unstructured…

量子物理 · 物理学 2020-09-21 Xiaoyu He , Jialin Zhang , Xiaoming Sun

This paper deals with the problem of estimating the volume of the excursion set of a function $f:\mathbb{R}^d \to \mathbb{R}$ above a given threshold, under a probability measure on $\mathbb{R}^d$ that is assumed to be known. In the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-04-26 Julien Bect , David Ginsbourger , Ling Li , Victor Picheny , Emmanuel Vazquez

Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

Bayesian optimization is normally performed within fixed variable bounds. In cases like hyperparameter tuning for machine learning algorithms, setting the variable bounds is not trivial. It is hard to guarantee that any fixed bounds will…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-01-15 Wei Chen , Mark Fuge

Random search processes are instrumental in studying and understanding navigation properties of complex networks, food search strategies of animals, diffusion control of molecular processes in biological cells, and improving web search…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2016-01-27 Igor Trpevski , Ljupco Kocarev

We propose an algorithm for Bayesian functional optimisation - that is, finding the function to optimise a process - guided by experimenter beliefs and intuitions regarding the expected characteristics (length-scale, smoothness, cyclicity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-09 Alistair Shilton , Sunil Gupta , Santu Rana , Svetha Venkatesh

An exciting branch of machine learning research focuses on methods for learning, optimizing, and integrating unknown functions that are difficult or costly to evaluate. A popular Bayesian approach to this problem uses a Gaussian process…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-02 Anqi Wu , Mikio C. Aoi , Jonathan W. Pillow

The problem of sparse approximation and the closely related compressed sensing have received tremendous attention in the past decade. Primarily studied from the viewpoint of applied harmonic analysis and signal processing, there have been…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-10-23 Ali Çivril

We introduce \textit{basic inequalities} for first-order iterative optimization algorithms, forming a simple and versatile framework that connects implicit and explicit regularization. While related inequalities appear in the literature, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-01 Seunghoon Paik , Kangjie Zhou , Matus Telgarsky , Ryan J. Tibshirani

The frame algorithm uses a simple recursive formula to approximate an unknown vector from its frame coefficients. This note introduces an adaptive version of the frame algorithm that maximizes the error reduction between steps in terms of…

泛函分析 · 数学 2025-06-24 Brody Dylan Johnson

Computing reachability probabilities is a fundamental problem in the analysis of probabilistic programs. This paper aims at a comprehensive and comparative account on various martingale-based methods for over- and under-approximating…

编程语言 · 计算机科学 2018-11-16 Toru Takisaka , Yuichiro Oyabu , Natsuki Urabe , Ichiro Hasuo

As automated decision making and decision assistance systems become common in everyday life, research on the prevention or mitigation of potential harms that arise from decisions made by these systems has proliferated. However, various…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2023-01-18 Samer B. Nashed , Justin Svegliato , Su Lin Blodgett