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Daily temperature anomaly records are analyzed (61 for Australia, 18 for Hungary) by means of detrended fluctuation analysis. Positive long range asymptotic correlations extending up to 5-10 years are detected for each case. Contrary to…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Andrea Király , Imre M. Jánosi

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the reconstructed temperature for the past 400,000 years (Antarctic ice cores data) are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance, presumably related to Earth…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2010-06-24 A. Bershadskii

Gil-Alana et al. (Physica A: 396, 42-50, 2014) compared the sunspot number record and the temperature record and found that they differ: the sunspot number record is characterized by a dominant 11-year cycle while the temperature record…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2014-07-30 Nicola Scafetta

In the last decades, an ever-growing number of studies are focusing on the extreme weather conditions related to the climate change. Some of them are based on multifractal approaches, such as the Multifractal Detrended Fluctuation Analysis…

We examine the long-term correlations and multifractal properties of daily satellite retrievals of Arctic sea ice albedo and extent, for periods of $\sim$ 23 years and 32 years respectively. The approach harnesses a recent development…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2012-05-08 S. Agarwal , W. Moon , J. S. Wettlaufer

We use multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MF-DFA), to See query 1 study sunspot number fluctuations. The result of the MF-DFA shows that there are three crossover timescales in the fluctuation function. We discuss how the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2011-02-16 M. Sadegh Movahed , G. R. Jafari , F. Ghasemi , Sohrab Rahvar , M. Reza Rahimi Tabar

Given uncertainties in physical theory and numerical climate simulations, the historical temperature record is often used as a source of empirical information about climate change. Many historical trend analyses appear to deemphasize…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-05-16 Andrew Poppick , Elisabeth J. Moyer , Michael L. Stein

Predicting historic temperatures based on tree rings, ice cores, and other natural proxies is a difficult endeavor. The relationship between proxies and temperature is weak and the number of proxies is far larger than the number of target…

应用统计 · 统计学 2011-04-22 Blakeley B. McShane , Abraham J. Wyner

We study the distribution $P(x;\alpha,L)$ of the relative trend $x$ in long-term correlated records of length $L$ that are characterized by a Hurst-exponent $\alpha$ between 0.5 and 1.5 obtained by DFA2. The relative trend $x$ is the ratio…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-06-23 Araik Tamazian , Josef Ludescher , Armin Bunde

We produce new reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere annually averaged temperature anomalies back to 1000 AD, and explore the effects of including external climate forcings within the reconstruction and of accounting for short-memory and…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-03-05 Luis Barboza , Bo Li , Martin P. Tingley , Frederi G. Viens

Herein we show that the historical records of mid-latitude auroras from 1700 to 1966 present oscillations with periods of about 9, 10-11, 20-21, 30 and 60 years. The same frequencies are found in proxy and instrumental global surface…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2015-03-20 Nicola Scafetta

It is shown that, the wavelet regression detrended fluctuations of the monthly global temperature data (land and ocean combined) for the period 1880-2009yy, are completely dominated by one-third subharmonic resonance to annual forcing (both…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2010-02-16 A. Bershadskii

There is an ongoing debate in the literature about whether the present global warming is increasing local and global temperature variability. The central methodological issues of this debate relate to the proper treatment of normalised…

流体动力学 · 物理学 2017-02-24 Miklos Vincze , Ion Borcia , Uwe Harlander

We investigate whether or not the decadal and multi-decadal climate oscillations have an astronomical origin. Several global surface temperature records since 1850 and records deduced from the orbits of the planets present very similar…

地球物理 · 物理学 2010-05-31 Nicola Scafetta

Earth's energy imbalance at the top of the atmosphere is a key climate system metric, but its natural variability is poorly constrained by the short observational record and large uncertainty in coupled climate models. While existing ocean…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2026-03-24 Dominik Stiller , Gregory J. Hakim

In this paper, we analyze several instrumental records of temperatures at different locations by using new techniques originally developed for the analysis of extreme values of dynamical systems. We show that they have the same recurrence…

地球物理 · 物理学 2014-03-24 Davide Faranda , Sandro Vaienti

Multifractal structure of global monthly mean temperature anomaly time series over the period of 1850-2012 are studied in terms of the multifractal detrended moving average (MFDMA) analysis. We try to address the possible source(s) and the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2017-08-17 Provash Mali

The climate change attribution problem is addressed using empirical decomposition. Cycles in solar motion and activity of 60 and 20 years were used to develop an empirical model of Earth temperature variations. The model was fit to the…

地球物理 · 物理学 2012-06-27 Craig Loehle , Nicola Scafetta

The recent increase in global temperature is attributed to anthropological global warming, (A.G.W), with a minor role for natural trends in temperature. The I.P.P.C estimates natural temperature (NAT) from climate models and attributes the…

大气与海洋物理 · 物理学 2023-02-01 Ian Edmonds

We argue that earth's short-term temperature anomalies and the solar flare intermittency are linked. The analysis is based upon the study of the scaling of both the spreading and the entropy of the diffusion generated by the fluctuations of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Nicola Scafetta , Bruce J. West
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