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We propose a novel, succinct, and effective approach for distribution prediction to quantify uncertainty in machine learning. It incorporates adaptively flexible distribution prediction of $\mathbb{P}(\mathbf{y}|\mathbf{X}=x)$ in regression…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-06-21 Xing Yan , Yonghua Su , Wenxuan Ma

Multivariate categorical data are common in many fields. We are motivated by election polls studies assessing evidence of changes in voters opinions with their candidates preferences in the 2016 United States Presidential primaries or…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-08-10 Massimiliano Russo , Daniele Durante , Bruno Scarpa

In this paper we study the distributed average consensus problem in multi-agent systems with directed communication links that are subject to quantized information flow. Specifically, we present and analyze a distributed averaging algorithm…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-03-10 Apostolos I. Rikos , Christoforos N. Hadjicostis , Karl H. Johansson

Quantization summarizes continuous distributions by calculating a discrete approximation. Among the widely adopted methods for data quantization is Lloyd's algorithm, which partitions the space into Vorono\"i cells, that can be seen as…

Given an original discrete source X with the distribution p_X that is corrupted by noise to produce the noisy data Y with the given joint distribution p(X, Y). A quantizer/classifier Q : Y -> Z is then used to classify/quantize the data Y…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-01-07 Thuan Nguyen , Thinh Nguyen

Distributed control of connected and automated vehicles has attracted considerable interest for its potential to improve traffic efficiency and safety. However, such control schemes require sharing privacy-sensitive vehicle data, which…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-10-08 Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Wei Lin

When combining apparently inconsistent experimental results, one often implements errors on errors. The Particle Data Group's phenomenological prescription offers a practical solution but lacks a firm theoretical foundation. To address…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2025-08-22 Satoshi Mishima , Kin-ya Oda

This paper offers a mathematical invention that shows how to convert integrated quantiles, which often appear in risk measures, into integrated cumulative distribution functions, which are technically more tractable from various…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-04-26 Yunran Wei , Ricardas Zitikis

Quantization is widely applied in machine learning to reduce computational and storage costs for both data and models. Considering that classification tasks are fundamental to the field, it is crucial to investigate how quantization impacts…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-14 Weizhi Lu , Mingrui Chen , Weiyu Li

Fusing probabilistic information is a fundamental task in signal and data processing with relevance to many fields of technology and science. In this work, we investigate the fusion of multiple probability density functions (pdfs) of a…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-01-20 Günther Koliander , Yousef El-Laham , Petar M. Djurić , Franz Hlawatsch

In recent years Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been rapidly developed in various applications, together with increasingly complex architectures. The performance gain of these DNNs generally comes with high computational costs and large…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-12-05 Yiren Zhou , Seyed-Mohsen Moosavi-Dezfooli , Ngai-Man Cheung , Pascal Frossard

We study the problem of eliciting and aggregating probabilistic information from multiple agents. In order to successfully aggregate the predictions of agents, the principal needs to elicit some notion of confidence from agents, capturing…

计算机科学与博弈论 · 计算机科学 2014-10-03 Rafael M. Frongillo , Yiling Chen , Ian A. Kash

Quantile forecasts made across multiple horizons have become an important output of many financial institutions, central banks and international organisations. This paper proposes misspecification tests for such quantile forecasts that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-16 Jack Fosten , Daniel Gutknecht , Marc-Oliver Pohle

Deep learning has made remarkable progress recently, largely due to the availability of large, well-labeled datasets. However, the training on such datasets elevates costs and computational demands. To address this, various techniques like…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2024-07-11 Zhenghao Zhao , Yuzhang Shang , Junyi Wu , Yan Yan

In Bayesian meta-analysis, the specification of prior probabilities for the between-study heterogeneity is commonly required, and is of particular benefit in situations where only few studies are included. Among the considerations in the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-06-02 Christian Röver , Sibylle Sturtz , Jona Lilienthal , Ralf Bender , Tim Friede

When machine learning supports decision-making in safety-critical systems, it is important to verify and understand the reasons why a particular output is produced. Although feature importance calculation approaches assist in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-09-14 Divish Rengasamy , Benjamin Rothwell , Grazziela Figueredo

There are essentially three kinds of approaches to Uncertainty Quantification (UQ): (A) robust optimization, (B) Bayesian, (C) decision theory. Although (A) is robust, it is unfavorable with respect to accuracy and data assimilation. (B)…

We propose an information-theoretic quantifier for the advantage gained from cooperation that captures the degree of dependency between subsystems of a global system. The quantifier is distinct from measures of multipartite correlations…

We present a probabilistic viewpoint to multiple kernel learning unifying well-known regularised risk approaches and recent advances in approximate Bayesian inference relaxations. The framework proposes a general objective function suitable…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-06-08 Hannes Nickisch , Matthias Seeger

This paper considers online distributed convex constrained optimization over a time-varying multi-agent network. Agents in this network cooperate to minimize the global objective function through information exchange with their neighbors…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-05-09 Wentao Zhang , Yang Shi , Baoyong Zhang , Kaihong Lu , Deming Yuan