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Causal decomposition depicts a cause-effect relationship that is not based on the concept of prediction, but based on the phase dependence of time series. It has been validated in both stochastic and deterministic systems and is now…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2020-08-18 Yi Zhang , Qin Yang , Lifu Zhang , Branko Celler , Steven Su , Peng Xu , Dezhong Yao

Studying psychiatric illness has often been limited by difficulties in connecting symptoms and behavior to neurobiology. Computational psychiatry approaches promise to bridge this gap by providing formal accounts of the latent information…

Individual neurons often produce highly variable responses over nominally identical trials, reflecting a mixture of intrinsic "noise" and systematic changes in the animal's cognitive and behavioral state. Disentangling these sources of…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2021-11-08 Alex H. Williams , Scott W. Linderman

This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri

Estimating causal interactions in complex dynamical systems is an important problem encountered in many fields of current science. While a theoretical solution for detecting the causal interactions has been previously formulated in the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2020-01-20 Jakub Kořenek , Jaroslav Hlinka

Graphical models can represent a multivariate distribution in a convenient and accessible form as a graph. Causal models can be viewed as a special class of graphical models that not only represent the distribution of the observed system…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-29 Christina Heinze-Deml , Marloes H. Maathuis , Nicolai Meinshausen

This paper considers neural representation through the lens of active inference, a normative framework for understanding brain function. It delves into how living organisms employ generative models to minimize the discrepancy between…

Understanding the relation between cortical neuronal network structure and neuronal activity is a fundamental unresolved question in neuroscience, with implications to our understanding of the mechanism by which neuronal networks evolve…

In this paper we study the problems of estimating heterogeneity in causal effects in experimental or observational studies and conducting inference about the magnitude of the differences in treatment effects across subsets of the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-08 Susan Athey , Guido Imbens

We propose a counterfactual approach to train ``causality-aware" predictive models that are able to leverage causal information in static anticausal machine learning tasks (i.e., prediction tasks where the outcome influences the features).…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-12-01 Elias Chaibub Neto

We show that it is possible to understand and identify a decision maker's subjective causal judgements by observing her preferences over interventions. Following Pearl [2000], we represent causality using causal models (also called…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-01-23 Joseph Y. Halpern , Evan Piermont

We present Causal Generative Neural Networks (CGNNs) to learn functional causal models from observational data. CGNNs leverage conditional independencies and distributional asymmetries to discover bivariate and multivariate causal…

Identifying causal relationships from observational time series data is a key problem in disciplines such as climate science or neuroscience, where experiments are often not possible. Data-driven causal inference is challenging since…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-12-03 Jakob Runge , Peer Nowack , Marlene Kretschmer , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

Stimulus from the environment that guides behavior and informs decisions is encoded in the firing rates of neural populations. Each neuron in the populations, however, does not spike independently: spike events are correlated from cell to…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2012-07-24 Nicholas Cain , Eric Shea-Brown

Smartphones have become an indispensable part of our daily life. Their improved sensing and computing capabilities bring new opportunities for human behavior monitoring and analysis. Most work so far has been focused on detecting…

计算机与社会 · 计算机科学 2016-01-18 Fani Tsapeli , Mirco Musolesi

Mental events are considered to supervene on physical events. A supervenient event does not change without a corresponding change in the underlying subvenient physical events. Since wholes and their parts exhibit the same…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2026-03-31 Yoshiyuki Ohmura , Yasuo Kuniyoshi

This paper introduces a biomathematical model designed to describe the internal dynamics of dream formation and spontaneous cognitive processes. The model incorporates neurocognitive factors such as dissatisfaction, acceptance, forgetting,…

神经元与认知 · 定量生物学 2025-05-12 Shirmohammad Tavangari , Sajjad Janfaza , Zahra Shakarami , Aref Yelghi

The inaccessibility of controlled randomized trials due to inherent constraints in many fields of science has been a fundamental issue in causal inference. In this paper, we focus on distinguishing the cause from effect in the bivariate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-23 Jean-Francois Ton , Dino Sejdinovic , Kenji Fukumizu

This paper introduces a new framework for recovering causal graphs from observational data, leveraging the observation that the distribution of an effect, conditioned on its causes, remains invariant to changes in the prior distribution of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-04 Nang Hung Nguyen , Phi Le Nguyen , Thao Nguyen Truong , Trong Nghia Hoang , Masashi Sugiyama

Inference of causality in time series has been principally based on the prediction paradigm. Nonetheless, the predictive causality approach may overlook the simultaneous and reciprocal nature of causal interactions observed in real world…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2018-10-24 Albert C. Yang , Norden E. Huang , Chung-Kang Peng