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Credit risk assessment of a company is commonly conducted by utilizing financial ratios that are derived from its financial statements. However, this approach may not fully encompass other significant aspects of a company. We propose the…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-01-29 Xinlin Wang , Mats Brorsson

There has been intensive research regarding machine learning models for predicting bankruptcy in recent years. However, the lack of interpretability limits their growth and practical implementation. This study proposes a data-driven…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-11-03 Wei Li , Wolfgang Karl Härdle , Stefan Lessmann

Corporate insolvency can have a devastating effect on the economy. With an increasing number of companies making expansion overseas to capitalize on foreign resources, a multinational corporate bankruptcy can disrupt the world's financial…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-02-16 Jacky C. K. Chow

Bankruptcy is a legal procedure that claims a person or organization as a debtor. It is essential to ascertain the risk of bankruptcy at initial stages to prevent financial losses. In this perspective, different soft computing techniques…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-02-13 Kalyan Nagaraj , Amulyashree Sridhar

Prognostics aid in the longevity of fielded systems or products. Quantifying the system's current health enable prognosis to enhance the operator's decision-making to preserve the system's health. Creating a prognosis for a system can be…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-31 Ryan Nguyen , Shubhendu Kumar Singh , Rahul Rai

In recent years, bankruptcy forecasting has gained lot of attention from researchers as well as practitioners in the field of financial risk management. For bankruptcy prediction, various approaches proposed in the past and currently in…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-09-05 Amir Mukeri , Habibullah Shaikh , D. P. Gaikwad

A way to enhance the performance of a model that combines genetic algorithms and fuzzy logic for feature selection and classification is proposed. Early diagnosis of any disease with less cost is preferable. Diabetes is one such disease.…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2011-03-02 E. P. Ephzibah

Context: Financial system stability is determined by the condition of the banking system. A bank failure can destroy the stability of the financial system, as banks are subject to systemic risk, affecting not only individual banks but also…

Bankruptcy prediction is an important research area that heavily relies on data science. It aims to help investors, managers, and regulators better understand the operational status of corporations and predict potential financial risks in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2024-11-05 Xinlin Wang , Zsófia Kräussl , Mats Brorsson

The primary aim of this research was to find a model that best predicts which fallen angel bonds would either potentially rise up back to investment grade bonds and which ones would fall into bankruptcy. To implement the solution, we…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-12-12 Harrison Mateika , Juannan Jia , Linda Lillard , Noah Cronbaugh , Will Shin

In this paper with the aid of genetic algorithm and fuzzy theory, we present a hybrid job scheduling approach, which considers the load balancing of the system and reduces total execution time and execution cost. We try to modify the…

分布式、并行与集群计算 · 计算机科学 2014-04-23 Saeed Javanmardi , Mohammad Shojafar , Danilo Amendola , Nicola Cordeschi , Hongbo Liu , Ajith Abraham

In the area of credit risk analytics, current Bankruptcy Prediction Models (BPMs) struggle with (a) the availability of comprehensive and real-world data sets and (b) the presence of extreme class imbalance in the data (i.e., very few…

We introduce a binary regression accounting-based model for bankruptcy prediction of small and medium enterprises (SMEs). The main advantage of the model lies in its predictive performance in identifying defaulted SMEs. Another advantage,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-12-11 Raffaella Calabrese , Giampiero Marra , Silvia Angela Osmetti

Using a comprehensive sample of 2,585 bankruptcies from 1990 to 2019, we benchmark the performance of various machine learning models in predicting financial distress of publicly traded U.S. firms. We find that gradient boosted trees…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-12-26 Emmanuel Alanis , Sudheer Chava , Agam Shah

A public firm's bankruptcy prediction is an important financial research problem because of the security price downside risks. Traditional methods rely on accounting metrics that suffer from shortcomings like window dressing and…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-05 Sridhar Ravula

Credit scoring is an essential tool used by global financial institutions and credit lenders for financial decision making. In this paper, we introduce a new method based on Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to forecast the probability of…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-17 Hamidreza Arian , Seyed Mohammad Sina Seyfi , Azin Sharifi

Academics and practitioners have studied over the years models for predicting firms bankruptcy, using statistical and machine-learning approaches. An earlier sign that a company has financial difficulties and may eventually bankrupt is…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2020-02-27 Tesi Aliaj , Aris Anagnostopoulos , Stefano Piersanti

Congestion control research has experienced a significant increase in interest in the past few years, with many purpose-built algorithms being designed with the needs of specific applications in mind. These algorithms undergo limited…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2022-07-18 Devdeep Ray , Srinivasan Seshan

Financial Distress Prediction plays a crucial role in the economy by accurately forecasting the number and probability of failing structures, providing insight into the growth and stability of a country's economy. However, predicting…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-24 Yuan Gao , Biao Jiang , Jietong Zhou

In bankruptcy prediction, the proportion of events is very low, which is often oversampled to eliminate this bias. In this paper, we study the influence of the event rate on discrimination abilities of bankruptcy prediction models. First…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-03-14 Lili Zhang , Jennifer Priestley , Xuelei Ni
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