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Bayesian networks represent relations between variables using a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Learning the DAG is an NP-hard problem and exact learning algorithms are feasible only for small sets of variables. We propose two scalable…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-07-02 Pierre Gillot , Pekka Parviainen

All discretized numerical models contain modelling errors - this reality is amplified when reduced-order models are used. The ability to accurately approximate modelling errors informs statistics on model confidence and improves…

计算物理 · 物理学 2021-03-17 Danny Smyl , Tyler N. Tallman , Jonathan A. Black , Andreas Hauptmann , Dong Liu

Several causal discovery algorithms have been proposed. However, when the sample size is small relative to the number of variables, the accuracy of estimating causal graphs using existing methods decreases. And some methods are not feasible…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-06 Ming Cai , Hisayuki Hara

Inferring cause-effect relationships from observational data has gained significant attention in recent years, but most methods are limited to scalar random variables. In many important domains, including neuroscience, psychology, social…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Konstantin Göbler , Tobias Windisch , Mathias Drton

Causal Bayesian networks (CBN) are popular graphical probabilistic models that encode causal relations among variables. Learning their graphical structure from observational data has received a lot of attention in the literature. When there…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-08-22 Christophe Gonzales , Amir-Hosein Valizadeh

Understanding probabilistic dependencies among variables is central to analyzing complex systems. Traditional structure learning methods often require extensive observational data or are limited by manual, error-prone incorporation of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-24 Yinghuan Zhang , Yufei Zhang , Parisa Kordjamshidi , Zijun Cui

Learning the structure of dependence relations between variables is a pervasive issue in the statistical literature. A directed acyclic graph (DAG) can represent a set of conditional independences, but different DAGs may encode the same set…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-15 Federico Castelletti , Stefano Peluso

In recent literature, the Gaussian Graphical model (GGM; Lauritzen, 1996),a network of partial correlation coefficients, has been used to capture potential dynamic relationships between observed variables. The GGM can be estimated using…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-25 Sacha Epskamp

Directed acyclic graphs provide a fundamental tool for representing directed dependence structures in multivariate network data, and are widely used to model financial and economic networks. However, accurate and interpretable estimation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Huihang Liu , Wenhui Li , Xinyu Zhang

The estimation of linear causal models (also known as structural equation models) from data is a well-known problem which has received much attention in the past. Most previous work has, however, made an explicit or implicit assumption of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Patrik O. Hoyer , Shohei Shimizu , Antti J. Kerminen

A major problem of causal inference is the arrangement of dependent nodes in a directed acyclic graph (DAG) with path coefficients and observed confounders. Path coefficients do not provide the units to measure the strength of information…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-09-17 Pramod Kumar Parida , Tshilidzi Marwala , Snehashish Chakraverty

Without any assumptions about data generation, multiple causal models may explain our observations equally well. To avoid selecting a single arbitrary model that could result in unsafe decisions if it does not match reality, it is therefore…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-01-13 Tristan Deleu

Multivariate functional data arise in a wide range of applications. One fundamental task is to understand the causal relationships among these functional objects of interest, which has not yet been fully explored. In this article, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-25 Fangting Zhou , Kejun He , Kunbo Wang , Yanxun Xu , Yang Ni

We consider structural equation models in which variables can be written as a function of their parents and noise terms, which are assumed to be jointly independent. Corresponding to each structural equation model, there is a directed…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-06-03 Jonas Peters , Peter Bühlmann

Structural causal models postulate noisy functional relations among a set of interacting variables. The causal structure underlying each such model is naturally represented by a directed graph whose edges indicate for each variable which…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-03-15 David Strieder , Tobias Freidling , Stefan Haffner , Mathias Drton

In this paper we present a comprehensive view of prominent causal discovery algorithms, categorized into two main categories (1) assuming acyclic and no latent variables, and (2) allowing both cycles and latent variables, along with…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-09-13 Karamjit Singh , Garima Gupta , Vartika Tewari , Gautam Shroff

Causal discovery with latent variables is a fundamental task. Yet most existing methods rely on strong structural assumptions, such as enforcing specific indicator patterns for latents or restricting how they can interact with others. We…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-06 Haoyue Dai , Immanuel Albrecht , Peter Spirtes , Kun Zhang

A structural equation model (SEM) is an effective framework to reason over causal relationships represented via a directed acyclic graph (DAG). Recent advances have enabled effective maximum-likelihood point estimation of DAGs from…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-07 Chris Cundy , Aditya Grover , Stefano Ermon

Linear structural equation models represent direct causal effects as directed edges and confounding factors as bidirected edges. An open problem is to identify the causal parameters from correlations between the nodes. We investigate…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-03-07 Benito van der Zander , Marcel Wienöbst , Markus Bläser , Maciej Liśkiewicz

Causal Bayesian Networks provide an important tool for reasoning under uncertainty with potential application to many complex causal systems. Structure learning algorithms that can tell us something about the causal structure of these…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-04-15 Neville K Kitson , Anthony C Constantinou