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Gaussian Processes (GPs) can be used as flexible, non-parametric function priors. Inspired by the growing body of work on Normalizing Flows, we enlarge this class of priors through a parametric invertible transformation that can be made…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-26 Juan Maroñas , Oliver Hamelijnck , Jeremias Knoblauch , Theodoros Damoulas

Bayesian learning is built on an assumption that the model space contains a true reflection of the data generating mechanism. This assumption is problematic, particularly in complex data environments. Here we present a Bayesian…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-11-05 S. P. Lyddon , S. G. Walker , C. C. Holmes

The study of dependence between random variables is the core of theoretical and applied statistics. Static and dynamic copula models are useful for describing the dependence structure, which is fully encrypted in the copula probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-20 Dominque Guégan , Matteo Iacopini

In this work, we propose a novel deep bootstrap framework for nonparametric regression based on conditional diffusion models. Specifically, we construct a conditional diffusion model to learn the distribution of the response variable given…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-02-12 Jinyuan Chang , Yuling Jiao , Lican Kang , Junjie Shi

Inverse problems and, in particular, inferring unknown or latent parameters from data are ubiquitous in engineering simulations. A predominant viewpoint in identifying unknown parameters is Bayesian inference where both prior information…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-31 Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

This paper proposes a Vector Autoregression augmented with nonlinear factors that are modeled nonparametrically using regression trees. There are four main advantages of our model. First, modeling potential nonlinearities nonparametrically…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-08-20 Todd Clark , Florian Huber , Gary Koop

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

We introduce a comprehensive Bayesian multivariate predictive inference framework. The basis for our framework is a hierarchical Bayesian model, that is a mixture of finite Polya trees corresponding to multiple dyadic partitions of the unit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-27 Daniel Yekutieli

The proposal and study of dependent prior processes has been a major research focus in the recent Bayesian nonparametric literature. In this paper, we introduce a flexible class of dependent nonparametric priors, investigate their…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-07-03 Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti , Igor Prünster

Gaussian process models are flexible, Bayesian non-parametric approaches to regression. Properties of multivariate Gaussians mean that they can be combined linearly in the manner of additive models and via a link function (like in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-04-19 Alan D. Saul , James Hensman , Aki Vehtari , Neil D. Lawrence

In many real problems, dependence structures more general than exchangeability are required. For instance, in some settings partial exchangeability is a more reasonable assumption. For this reason, vectors of dependent Bayesian…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-20 Alan Riva Palacio , Fabrizio Leisen

This article introduces a novel nonparametric methodology for Generalized Linear Models which combines the strengths of the binary regression and latent variable formulations for categorical data, while overcoming their disadvantages.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-12 K. P. Chowdhury

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

We propose a general nonparametric Bayesian framework for binary regression, which is built from modeling for the joint response-covariate distribution. The observed binary responses are assumed to arise from underlying continuous random…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-09-06 Maria DeYoreo , Athanasios Kottas

A conventional Bayesian approach to prediction uses the posterior distribution to integrate out parameters in a density for unobserved data conditional on the observed data and parameters. When the true posterior is intractable, it is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-27 Lucas Kock , Scott A. Sisson , G. S. Rodrigues , David J. Nott

Nonresponse frequently arises in practice, and simply ignoring it may lead to erroneous inference. Besides, the number of collected covariates may increase as the sample size in modern statistics, so parametric imputation or propensity…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-29 Xin He , Xiaojun Mao , Zhonglei Wang

Many application domains such as ecology or genomics have to deal with multivariate non Gaussian observations. A typical example is the joint observation of the respective abundances of a set of species in a series of sites, aiming to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-01 Julien Chiquet , Mahendra Mariadassou , Stéphane Robin

For non-randomized studies, the regression discontinuity design (RDD) can be used to identify and estimate causal effects from a "locally-randomized" subgroup of subjects, under relatively mild conditions. However, current models focus…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-02-12 George Karabatsos , Stephen G. Walker

Inference in popular nonparametric Bayesian models typically relies on sampling or other approximations. This paper presents a general methodology for constructing novel tractable nonparametric Bayesian methods by applying the kernel trick…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-08-15 Ferenc Huszár , Simon Lacoste-Julien

We introduce a Bayesian nonparametric regression model for data with multiway (tensor) structure, motivated by an application to periodontal disease (PD) data. Our outcome is the number of diseased sites measured over four different tooth…

应用统计 · 统计学 2019-02-01 Eric F. Lock , Dipankar Bandyopadhyay