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We study the problem of prediction with expert advice when the number of experts in question may be extremely large or even infinite. We devise an algorithm that obtains a tight regret bound of $\widetilde{O}(\epsilon T + N + \sqrt{NT})$,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-28 Alon Cohen , Shie Mannor

We study online aggregation of the predictions of experts, and first show new second-order regret bounds in the standard setting, which are obtained via a version of the Prod algorithm (and also a version of the polynomially weighted…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-02-11 Pierre Gaillard , Gilles Stoltz , Tim Van Erven

We consider the problem setting of prediction with expert advice with possibly heavy-tailed losses, i.e. the only assumption on the losses is an upper bound on their second moments, denoted by $\theta$. We develop adaptive algorithms that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-01-09 Antoine Moulin , Emmanuel Esposito , Dirk van der Hoeven

We address the problem of sequential prediction with expert advice in a non-stationary environment with long-term memory guarantees in the sense of Bousquet and Warmuth [4]. We give a linear-time algorithm that improves on the best known…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-06-25 James Robinson , Mark Herbster

We consider the problem of prediction with expert advice when the losses of the experts have low-dimensional structure: they are restricted to an unknown $d$-dimensional subspace. We devise algorithms with regret bounds that are independent…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-05-24 Elad Hazan , Tomer Koren , Roi Livni , Yishay Mansour

We study the sequential general online regression, known also as the sequential probability assignments, under logarithmic loss when compared against a broad class of experts. We focus on obtaining tight, often matching, lower and upper…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-02-02 Changlong Wu , Mohsen Heidari , Ananth Grama , Wojciech Szpankowski

We consider the problem of transfer learning in an online setting. Different tasks are presented sequentially and processed by a within-task algorithm. We propose a lifelong learning strategy which refines the underlying data representation…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-14 Pierre Alquier , The Tien Mai , Massimiliano Pontil

This work studies external regret in sequential prediction games with both positive and negative payoffs. External regret measures the difference between the payoff obtained by the forecasting strategy and the payoff of the best action. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Nicolo Cesa-Bianchi , Yishay Mansour , Gilles Stoltz

Consider a sequence of bits where we are trying to predict the next bit from the previous bits. Assume we are allowed to say 'predict 0' or 'predict 1', and our payoff is +1 if the prediction is correct and -1 otherwise. We will say that at…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2012-10-11 Michael Kapralov , Rina Panigrahy

We study how we can adapt a predictor to a non-stationary environment with advises from multiple experts. We study the problem under complete feedback when the best expert changes over time from a decision theoretic point of view. Proposed…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-08-08 Vishnu Raj , Sheetal Kalyani

Prediction with expert advice is a foundational problem in online learning. In instances with $T$ rounds and $n$ experts, the classical Multiplicative Weights Update method suffers at most $\sqrt{(T/2)\ln n}$ regret when $T$ is known…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-16 Laura Greenstreet , Nicholas J. A. Harvey , Victor Sanches Portella

We investigate the problem of cumulative regret minimization for individual sequence prediction with respect to the best expert in a finite family of size K under limited access to information. We assume that in each round, the learner can…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-06 El Mehdi Saad , G. Blanchard

In this work, we aim to create a completely online algorithmic framework for prediction with expert advice that is translation-free and scale-free of the expert losses. Our goal is to create a generalized algorithm that is suitable for use…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-09-10 Kaan Gokcesu , Hakan Gokcesu

We consider the setting of online logistic regression and consider the regret with respect to the 2-ball of radius B. It is known (see [Hazan et al., 2014]) that any proper algorithm which has logarithmic regret in the number of samples…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-04 Rémi Jézéquel , Pierre Gaillard , Alessandro Rudi

In online inverse linear optimization, a learner observes time-varying sets of feasible actions and an agent's optimal actions, selected by solving linear optimization over the feasible actions. The learner sequentially makes predictions of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-23 Shinsaku Sakaue , Taira Tsuchiya , Han Bao , Taihei Oki

Consider the classical problem of predicting the next bit in a sequence of bits. A standard performance measure is {\em regret} (loss in payoff) with respect to a set of experts. For example if we measure performance with respect to two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-04-30 Rina Panigrahy , Preyas Popat

We propose a version of the follow-the-perturbed-leader online prediction algorithm in which the cumulative losses are perturbed by independent symmetric random walks. The forecaster is shown to achieve an expected regret of the optimal…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-02-26 Luc Devroye , Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu

The regret bound of an optimization algorithms is one of the basic criteria for evaluating the performance of the given algorithm. By inspecting the differences between the regret bounds of traditional algorithms and adaptive one, we…

This short note describes a simple variant of the Squint algorithm of Koolen and Van Erven [2015] for the classic expert problem. Via an equally simple modification of their proof, we prove that this variant ensures a regret bound that…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-03-05 Haipeng Luo

We study the problem of prediction with expert advice with adversarial corruption where the adversary can at most corrupt one expert. Using tools from viscosity theory, we characterize the long-time behavior of the value function of the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ibrahim Ekren , Xin Zhang
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