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相关论文: Concentration inequalities of the cross-validation…

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In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for stable predictors in the context of risk assessment. The notion of stability has been first introduced by \cite{DEWA79}…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-24 Matthieu Cornec

In this article, we derive concentration inequalities for the cross-validation estimate of the generalization error for subagged estimators, both for classification and regressor. General loss functions and class of predictors with both…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-11-24 Matthieu CORNEC

Choosing models from a hypothesis space is a frequent task in approximation theory and inverse problems. Cross-validation is a classical tool in the learner's repertoire to compare the goodness of fit for different reconstruction models.…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-02-24 Felix Bartel , Ralf Hielscher

We study the mean-squared error of $k$-fold cross-validation as a risk estimator, with particular emphasis on how its accuracy depends on the number of folds $k$. Despite the widespread use of cross-validation, principled guidance for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

Obtaining guarantees on the convergence of the minimizers of empirical risks to the ones of the true risk is a fundamental matter in statistical learning. Instead of deriving guarantees on the usual estimation error, the goal of this paper…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-09-12 Paul Escande

Despite ongoing theoretical research on cross-validation (CV), many theoretical questions remain widely open. This motivates our investigation into how properties of algorithm-distribution pairs can affect the choice for the number of folds…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-09 Ido Nachum , Rüdiger Urbanke , Thomas Weinberger

Cross validation is a central tool in evaluating the performance of machine learning and statistical models. However, despite its ubiquitous role, its theoretical properties are still not well understood. We study the asymptotic properties…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-30 Morgane Austern , Wenda Zhou

Cross-validation is a widely-used technique to estimate prediction error, but its behavior is complex and not fully understood. Ideally, one would like to think that cross-validation estimates the prediction error for the model at hand, fit…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

In this article we prove that estimator stability is enough to show that leave-one-out cross validation is a sound procedure, by providing concentration bounds in a general framework. In particular, we provide concentration bounds beyond…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-10-17 Benny Avelin , Lauri Viitasaari

Cross-validation (CV) is a popular approach for assessing and selecting predictive models. However, when the number of folds is large, CV suffers from a need to repeatedly refit a learning procedure on a large number of training datasets.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Ashia Wilson , Maximilian Kasy , Lester Mackey

Cross-validation (CV) is one of the most widely used techniques in statistical learning for estimating the test error of a model, but its behavior is not yet fully understood. It has been shown that standard confidence intervals for test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-10 Min Woo Sun , Robert Tibshirani

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

Cross-validation is a common method for estimating the predictive performance of machine learning models. In a data-scarce regime, where one typically wishes to maximize the number of instances used for training the model, an approach…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-25 George I. Austin , Itsik Pe'er , Tal Korem

Rates of convergence for empirical risk minimizers have been well studied in the literature. In this paper, we aim to provide a complementary set of results, in particular by showing that after normalization, the risk of the empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-12 Sara van de Geer , Martin Wainwright

Cross-validation is a standard tool for obtaining a honest assessment of the performance of a prediction model. The commonly used version repeatedly splits data, trains the prediction model on the training set, evaluates the model…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-10-10 Tianyu Pan , Vincent Z. Yu , Viswanath Devanarayan , Lu Tian

This work develops central limit theorems for cross-validation and consistent estimators of its asymptotic variance under weak stability conditions on the learning algorithm. Together, these results provide practical, asymptotically-exact…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Pierre Bayle , Alexandre Bayle , Lucas Janson , Lester Mackey

We derive the asymptotic risk function of regularized empirical risk minimization (ERM) estimators tuned by $n$-fold cross-validation (CV). The out-of-sample prediction loss of such estimators converges in distribution to the squared-error…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-24 Karun Adusumilli , Maximilian Kasy , Ashia Wilson

This text is a survey on cross-validation. We define all classical cross-validation procedures, and we study their properties for two different goals: estimating the risk of a given estimator, and selecting the best estimator among a given…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-10 Sylvain Arlot

A general framework is that the estimators of a distribution are obtained by minimizing a function (the estimating function) and they are assessed through another function (the assessment function). The estimating and assessment functions…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-14 Daniel Commenges , Cécile Proust-Lima , Cécilia Samieri , Benoit Liquet

An important question in constructing Cross Validation (CV) estimators of the generalization error is whether rules can be established that allow "optimal" selection of the size of the training set, for fixed sample size $n$. We define the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-11 Georgios Afendras , Marianthi Markatou
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