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Quality by design in pharmaceutical manufacturing hinges on computational methods and tools that are capable of accurate quantitative prediction of the design space. This paper investigates Bayesian approaches to design space…

We present the first application of a Nested Sampling algorithm to explore the high-dimensional phase space of particle collision events. We describe the adaptation of the algorithm, designed to perform Bayesian inference computations, to…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2022-08-09 David Yallup , Timo Janßen , Steffen Schumann , Will Handley

The recently introduced nested sampling algorithm allows the direct and efficient calculation of the partition function of atomistic systems. We demonstrate its applicability to condensed phase systems with periodic boundary conditions by…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-01-09 Lívia B. Pártay , Albert P. Bartók , Gábor Csányi

Nested sampling is a promising method for calculating phase diagrams of materials, however, the computational cost limits its applicability if ab-initio accuracy is required. In the present work, we report on the efficient use of a…

材料科学 · 物理学 2023-08-23 N. Unglert , J. Carrete , L. B. Pártay , G. K. H. Madsen

Nested sampling (NS) computes parameter posterior distributions and makes Bayesian model comparison computationally feasible. Its strengths are the unsupervised navigation of complex, potentially multi-modal posteriors until a well-defined…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-11 Johannes Buchner

We present a systematic study of the nested sampling algorithm based on the example of the Potts model. This model, which exhibits a first order phase transition for $q>4$, exemplifies a generic numerical challenge in statistical physics:…

计算物理 · 物理学 2017-12-12 Manuel J. Pfeifenberger , Michael Rumetshofer , Wolfgang von der Linden

Energy landscape theory describes how a full-length protein can attain its native fold after sampling only a tiny fraction of all possible structures. Although protein folding is now understood to be concomitant with synthesis on the…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2013-10-17 David S. Tourigny

Nested Sampling is a method for computing the Bayesian evidence, also called the marginal likelihood, which is the integral of the likelihood with respect to the prior. More generally, it is a numerical probabilistic quadrature rule. The…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-10-09 Jonas Latz , Doris Schneider , Philipp Wacker

We describe a method to explore the configurational phase space of chemical systems. It is based on the nested sampling algorithm recently proposed by Skilling [Skilling J. (2004) In AIP Conference Proceedings, vol. 735, p. 395.; Skilling…

统计力学 · 物理学 2010-07-08 Livia B. Pártay , Albert P. Bartók , Gábor Csányi

We introduce a novel technique within the Nested Sampling framework to enhance efficiency of the computation of Bayesian evidence, a critical component in scientific data analysis. In higher dimensions, Nested Sampling relies on Markov…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2023-12-19 Joshua G. Albert

We review Skilling's nested sampling (NS) algorithm for Bayesian inference and more broadly multi-dimensional integration. After recapitulating the principles of NS, we survey developments in implementing efficient NS algorithms in practice…

In performing a Bayesian analysis, two difficult problems often emerge. First, in estimating the parameters of some model for the data, the resulting posterior distribution may be multi-modal or exhibit pronounced (curving) degeneracies.…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-12-20 F. Feroz , J. Skilling

Nested sampling (NS) is a stochastic method for computing the log-evidence of a Bayesian problem. It relies on stochastic estimates of prior volumes enclosed by likelihood contours, which limits the accuracy of the log-evidence calculation.…

计算物理 · 物理学 2024-11-27 Margret Westerkamp , Jakob Roth , Philipp Frank , Will Handley , Torsten Enßlin

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

Nested sampling is a powerful approach to Bayesian inference ultimately limited by the computationally demanding task of sampling from a heavily constrained probability distribution. An effective algorithm in its own right, Hamiltonian…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-03-02 M. J. Betancourt

Energy landscape theory describes how a full-length protein can attain its native fold by sampling only a tiny fraction of all possible structures. Although protein folding is now understood to be concomitant with synthesis on the ribosome,…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2014-09-25 David S Tourigny

Bayesian inference methods rely on numerical algorithms for both model selection and parameter inference. In general, these algorithms require a high computational effort to yield reliable estimates. One of the major challenges in…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2018-08-09 Patricio Maturana , Brendon J. Brewer , Steffen Klaere , Remco Bouckaert

Studies in atomic-scale modeling of surface phase equilibria often focus on temperatures near zero Kelvin due to the challenges in calculating the free energy of surfaces at finite temperatures. The Bayesian-inference-based nested sampling…

材料科学 · 物理学 2024-04-23 Mingrui Yang , Livia B. Pártay , Robert B. Wexler

This review is a tutorial for scientists interested in the problem of protein structure prediction, particularly those interested in using coarse-grained molecular dynamics models that are optimized using lessons learned from the energy…

生物大分子 · 定量生物学 2014-01-06 N. P. Schafer , B. L. Kim , W. Zheng , P. G. Wolynes

Nested sampling is an iterative integration procedure that shrinks the prior volume towards higher likelihoods by removing a "live" point at a time. A replacement point is drawn uniformly from the prior above an ever-increasing likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Johannes Buchner
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