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System identification is of special interest in science and engineering. This article is concerned with a system identification problem arising in stochastic dynamic systems, where the aim is to estimate the parameters of a system along…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-01-27 Christos Merkatas , Simo Särkkä

Comparing competing mathematical models of complex natural processes is a shared goal among many branches of science. The Bayesian probabilistic framework offers a principled way to perform model comparison and extract useful metrics for…

We introduce a Bayesian active learning algorithm that efficiently elucidates phase diagrams. Using a novel acquisition function that assesses both the impact and likelihood of the next observation, the algorithm iteratively determines the…

This note studies a method for the efficient estimation of a finite number of unknown parameters from linear equations, which are perturbed by Gaussian noise. In case the unknown parameters have only few nonzero entries, the proposed…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2014-05-27 Liang Dai , Kristiaan Pelckmans

The optimal selection of experimental conditions is essential to maximizing the value of data for inference and prediction, particularly in situations where experiments are time-consuming and expensive to conduct. We propose a general…

机器学习 · 统计学 2012-12-04 Xun Huan , Youssef M. Marzouk

Bayesian Optimization is a widely used method for optimizing expensive black-box functions, relying on probabilistic surrogate models such as Gaussian Processes. The quality of the surrogate model is crucial for good optimization…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Carl Hvarfner , David Eriksson , Eytan Bakshy , Max Balandat

A class of splitting alternating algorithms is proposed for finding the sparse solution of linear systems with concatenated orthogonal matrices. Depending on the number of matrices concatenated, the proposed algorithms are classified into…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2025-09-30 Yun-Bin Zhao , Zhong-Feng Sun

We present an introduction to some concepts of Bayesian data analysis in the context of atomic physics. Starting from basic rules of probability, we present the Bayes' theorem and its applications. In particular we discuss about how to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2024-01-30 Martino Trassinelli

This paper introduces a new sparse spatio-temporal structured Gaussian process regression framework for online and offline Bayesian inference. This is the first framework that gives a time-evolving representation of the interdependencies…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-08-01 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

Bayesian reasoning is a powerful mechanism for probabilistic inference in smart edge-devices. During such inferences, a low-precision arithmetic representation can enable improved energy efficiency. However, its impact on inference accuracy…

硬件体系结构 · 计算机科学 2021-03-02 Nimish Shah , Laura I. Galindez Olascoaga , Wannes Meert , Marian Verhelst

Numerical integration and emulation are fundamental topics across scientific fields. We propose novel adaptive quadrature schemes based on an active learning procedure. We consider an interpolative approach for building a surrogate…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-01-20 F. Llorente , L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Delgado , J. López-Santiago

In the problem of active sequential hypothesis testing (ASHT), a learner seeks to identify the true hypothesis from among a known set of hypotheses. The learner is given a set of actions and knows the random distribution of the outcome of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-08 Kyra Gan , Su Jia , Andrew Li

Network inference has been attracting increasing attention in several fields, notably systems biology, control engineering and biomedicine. To develop a therapy, it is essential to understand the connectivity of biochemical units and the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2024-12-20 Junyang Jin , Ye Yuan , Jorge Goncalves

We present an efficient quantum algorithm for simulating the evolution of a sparse Hamiltonian H for a given time t in terms of a procedure for computing the matrix entries of H. In particular, when H acts on n qubits, has at most a…

量子物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Dominic W. Berry , Graeme Ahokas , Richard Cleve , Barry C. Sanders

The estimation of small probabilities of failure from computer simulations is a classical problem in engineering, and the Subset Simulation algorithm proposed by Au & Beck (Prob. Eng. Mech., 2001) has become one of the most popular method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-10 Ling Li , Julien Bect , Emmanuel Vazquez

In all areas of human knowledge, datasets are increasing in both size and complexity, creating the need for richer statistical models. This trend is also true for economic data, where high-dimensional and nonlinear/nonparametric inference…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-23 Dimitris Korobilis , Kenichi Shimizu

We present a framework for the efficient computation of optimal Bayesian decisions under intractable likelihoods, by learning a surrogate model for the expected utility (or its distribution) as a function of the action and data spaces. We…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-11-13 Justin Alsing , Thomas D. P. Edwards , Benjamin Wandelt

This paper develops new insights into quantitative methods for the validation of computational model prediction. Four types of methods are investigated, namely classical and Bayesian hypothesis testing, a reliability-based method, and an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-06-25 You Ling , Sankaran Mahadevan

We present a framework for bridging the gap between sensor attack detection and recovery in cyber-physical systems. The proposed framework models modern-day, complex perception pipelines as bipartite graphs, which combined with anomaly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-04-14 Axel Andersson , György Dán
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