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A common problem in disciplines of applied Statistics research such as Astrostatistics is of estimating the posterior distribution of relevant parameters. Typically, the likelihoods for such models are computed via expensive experiments…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-02-07 Kirthevasan Kandasamy , Jeff Schneider , Barnabás Póczos

The logistic specification has been used extensively in non-Bayesian statistics to model the dependence of discrete outcomes on the values of specified covariates. Because the likelihood function is globally weakly concave estimation by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-04-17 John Geweke , Garland Durham , Huaxin Xu

Most of the consistency analyses of Bayesian procedures for variable selection in regression refer to pairwise consistency, that is, consistency of Bayes factors. However, variable selection in regression is carried out in a given class of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-07-30 Elías Moreno , Javier Girón , George Casella

When performing Bayesian data analysis using a general linear mixed model, the resulting posterior density is almost always analytically intractable. However, if proper conditionally conjugate priors are used, there is a simple two-block…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Tavis Abrahamsen , James P. Hobert

Classic Bayesian methods with complex models are frequently infeasible due to an intractable likelihood. Simulation-based inference methods, such as Approximate Bayesian Computing (ABC), calculate posteriors without accessing a likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-09 Elliot Maceda , Emily C. Hector , Amanda Lenzi , Brian J. Reich

Gibbs random fields (GRF) are polymorphous statistical models that can be used to analyse different types of dependence, in particular for spatially correlated data. However, when those models are faced with the challenge of selecting a…

In linear regression models, fusion of coefficients is used to identify predictors having similar relationships with a response. This is called variable fusion. This paper presents a novel variable fusion method in terms of Bayesian linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-22 Shengyi Wu , Kaito Shimamura , Kohei Yoshikawa , Kazuaki Murayama , Shuichi Kawano

High-dimensional feature selection arises in many areas of modern science. For example, in genomic research we want to find the genes that can be used to separate tissues of different classes (e.g. cancer and normal) from tens of thousands…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-07-20 Longhai Li , Weixin Yao

Models with intractable likelihood functions arise in areas including network analysis and spatial statistics, especially those involving Gibbs random fields. Posterior parameter es timation in these settings is termed a doubly-intractable…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-10-16 Lampros Bouranis , Nial Friel , Florian Maire

We develop a Bayesian variable selection method, called SVEN, based on a hierarchical Gaussian linear model with priors placed on the regression coefficients as well as on the model space. Sparsity is achieved by using degenerate spike…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-08-04 Dongjin Li , Somak Dutta , Vivekananda Roy

Bayesian model selection, with precedents in George and McCulloch (1993) and Abramovich et al. (1998), support credibility measures that relate model uncertainty, but computation can be costly when sparse priors are approximate. We design…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-03-13 Alan Lenarcic , William Valdar

Complex simulators have become a ubiquitous tool in many scientific disciplines, providing high-fidelity, implicit probabilistic models of natural and social phenomena. Unfortunately, they typically lack the tractability required for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-02-24 Sebastian M Schmon , Patrick W Cannon , Jeremias Knoblauch

We propose a novel Bayesian approach to the problem of variable selection in multiple linear regression models. In particular, we present a hierarchical setting which allows for direct specification of a-priori beliefs about the number of…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-14 Konstantin Posch , Maximilian Arbeiter , Jürgen Pilz

During the past decade, shrinkage priors have received much attention in Bayesian analysis of high-dimensional data. This paper establishes the posterior consistency for high-dimensional linear regression with a class of shrinkage priors,…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-10-11 Qifan Song , Faming Liang

We consider Bayesian linear regression with sparsity-inducing prior and design efficient sampling algorithms leveraging posterior contraction properties. A quasi-likelihood with Gaussian spike-and-slab (that is favorable both statistically…

统计计算 · 统计学 2023-07-13 Qijia Jiang

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis

Bayesian inference allows machine learning models to express uncertainty. Current machine learning models use only a single learnable parameter combination when making predictions, and as a result are highly overconfident when their…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Andrew Wood , Moshik Hershcovitch , Daniel Waddington , Sarel Cohen , Peter Chin

An important feature of Bayesian statistics is the opportunity to do sequential inference: the posterior distribution obtained after seeing a dataset can be used as prior for a second inference. However, when Monte Carlo sampling methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-24 Bram Thijssen , Lodewyk F. A. Wessels

Constraints are a natural choice for prior information in Bayesian inference. In various applications, the parameters of interest lie on the boundary of the constraint set. In this paper, we use a method that implicitly defines a…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-27 Jasper Marijn Everink , Yiqiu Dong , Martin Skovgaard Andersen

Minimization of a stochastic cost function is commonly used for approximate sampling in high-dimensional Bayesian inverse problems with Gaussian prior distributions and multimodal posterior distributions. The density of the samples…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-06-03 Yuming Ba , Jana de Wiljes , Dean S. Oliver , Sebastian Reich