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We consider inventory decisions with many items, each of which has Poisson demand. The rate of demand for individual items is estimated on the basis of observations of past demand. The problem is to determine the items to hold in stock and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-06 Edward Anderson , Nam Ho-Nguyen , Peter Radchenko

In this article we provide a formulation of empirical bayes described by Atchade (2011) to tune the hyperparameters of priors used in bayesian set up of collaborative filter. We implement the same in MovieLens small dataset. We see that it…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Arabin Kumar Dey , Raghav Somani , Sreangsu Acharyya

Bayesian inference with computationally expensive likelihood evaluations remains a significant challenge in many scientific domains. We propose normalizing flow regression (NFR), a novel offline inference method for approximating posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-04-17 Chengkun Li , Bobby Huggins , Petrus Mikkola , Luigi Acerbi

Causal inference in completely randomized treatment-control studies with binary outcomes is discussed from Fisherian, Neymanian and Bayesian perspectives, using the potential outcomes framework. A randomization-based justification of…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-01-13 Peng Ding , Tirthankar Dasgupta

A stochastic epidemic model is defined in which each individual belongs to a household, a secondary grouping (typically school or workplace) and also the community as a whole. Moreover, infectious contacts take place in these three settings…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-08-17 Tom Britton , Theodore Kypraios , Philip O'Neill

This chapter provides a overview of Bayesian inference, mostly emphasising that it is a universal method for summarising uncertainty and making estimates and predictions using probability statements conditional on observed data and an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-02-11 Christian P. Robert , Jean-Michel Marin , Judith Rousseau

We develop a Bayesian approach for selecting the model which is the most supported by the data within a class of marginal models for categorical variables formulated through equality and/or inequality constraints on generalised logits…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-02-21 Francesco Bartolucci , Luisa Scaccia , Alessio Farcomeni

Claiming causal inferences in network settings necessitates careful consideration of the often complex dependency between outcomes for actors. Of particular importance are treatment spillover or outcome interference effects. We consider…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-18 Duncan A. Clark , Mark S. Handcock

Adding domain knowledge to a learning system is known to improve results. In multi-parameter Bayesian frameworks, such knowledge is incorporated as a prior. On the other hand, various model parameters can have different learning rates in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-06-22 Sareh Nabi , Houssam Nassif , Joseph Hong , Hamed Mamani , Guido Imbens

In this survey we discuss the recent causal panel data literature. This recent literature has focused on credibly estimating causal effects of binary interventions in settings with longitudinal data, emphasizing practical advice for…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-06-26 Dmitry Arkhangelsky , Guido Imbens

Databases often contain corrupted, degraded, and noisy data with duplicate entries across and within each database. Such problems arise in citations, medical databases, genetics, human rights databases, and a variety of other applied…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-04-29 Rebecca C. Steorts

Bayesian, frequentist and fiducial (BFF) inferences are much more congruous than they have been perceived historically in the scientific community (cf., Reid and Cox 2015; Kass 2011; Efron 1998). Most practitioners are probably more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Suzanne Thornton , Minge Xie

Three critical issues for causal inference that often occur in modern, complicated experiments are interference, treatment nonadherence, and missing outcomes. A great deal of research efforts has been dedicated to developing causal…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-06 Yuki Ohnishi , Arman Sabbaghi

Epidemiological models describe the spread of an infectious disease within a population. They capture microscopic details on how the disease is passed on among individuals in various different ways, while making predictions about the state…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2024-02-27 Stefan Hohenegger , Francesco Sannino

Parameter ensembles or sets of random effects constitute one of the cornerstones of modern statistical practice. This is especially the case in Bayesian hierarchical models, where several decision theoretic frameworks can be deployed. The…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Cedric E. Ginestet

We propose a new, flexible model for inference of the effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome observed over subsequent time periods. The model allows to seperate association due to endogeneity of treatment selection from…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Helga Wagner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Liana Jacobi

Regression plays a key role in many research areas and its variable selection is a classic and major problem. This study emphasizes cost of predictors to be purchased for future use, when we select a subset of them. Its economic aspect is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-19 Steven N. MacEachern , Koji Miyawaki

This paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian multitask learning model that is applicable to the general multi-task binary classification learning problem where the model assumes a shared sparsity structure across different tasks. We derive a…

In recent years, theoretical results and simulation evidence have shown Bayesian additive regression trees to be a highly-effective method for nonparametric regression. Motivated by cost-effectiveness analyses in health economics, where…

We consider the prediction of weak effects in a multiple-output regression setup, when covariates are expected to explain a small amount, less than $\approx 1%$, of the variance of the target variables. To facilitate the prediction of the…

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