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Modal regression has emerged as a flexible alternative to classical regression models when the conditional mean or median are unable to adequately capture the underlying relation between a response and a predictor variable. This approach is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-08 Ana Pérez-González , Tomás R. Cotos-Yáñez , Rosa M. Crujeiras

This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for exploratory data analysis and feature construction in continuous time series. Our method focuses on understanding shared features in a set of time series that exhibit significant…

机器学习 · 统计学 2010-08-13 Suchi Saria , Daphne Koller , Anna Penn

Variable selection and classification are common objectives in the analysis of high-dimensional data. Most such methods make distributional assumptions that may not be compatible with the diverse families of distributions data can take. A…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-08-28 Weichang Yu , Lamiae Azizi , John T. Ormerod

This paper addresses the problem of detecting and characterizing local variability in time series and other forms of sequential data. The goal is to identify and characterize statistically significant variations, at the same time…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2015-06-05 Jeffrey D. Scargle , Jay P. Norris , Brad Jackson , James Chiang

We consider the problem of online learning in the presence of distribution shifts that occur at an unknown rate and of unknown intensity. We derive a new Bayesian online inference approach to simultaneously infer these distribution shifts…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Aodong Li , Alex Boyd , Padhraic Smyth , Stephan Mandt

In many applications, survey data are collected from different survey centers in different regions. It happens that in some circumstances, response variables are completely observed while the covariates have missing values. In this paper,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-07 Zhihua Ma , Guanyu Hu , Ming-Hui Chen

Distributed inference/estimation in Bayesian framework in the context of sensor networks has recently received much attention due to its broad applicability. The variational Bayesian (VB) algorithm is a technique for approximating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-11-30 Junhao Hua , Chunguang Li

The rising interest in Bayesian deep learning (BDL) has led to a plethora of methods for estimating the posterior distribution. However, efficient computation of inferences, such as predictions, has been largely overlooked with Monte Carlo…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-07-23 Rui Li , Marcus Klasson , Arno Solin , Martin Trapp

Along with the practical success of the discovery of dynamics using deep learning, the theoretical analysis of this approach has attracted increasing attention. Prior works have established the grid error estimation with auxiliary…

数值分析 · 数学 2023-05-23 Aiqing Zhu , Sidi Wu , Yifa Tang

We present the Mixed Likelihood Gaussian process latent variable model (GP-LVM), capable of modeling data with attributes of different types. The standard formulation of GP-LVM assumes that each observation is drawn from a Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-11-20 Samuel Murray , Hedvig Kjellström

Many natural systems, such as neurons firing in the brain or basketball teams traversing a court, give rise to time series data with complex, nonlinear dynamics. We can gain insight into these systems by decomposing the data into segments…

Simultaneously performing variable selection and inference in high-dimensional models is an open challenge in statistics and machine learning. The increasing availability of vast amounts of variables requires the adoption of specific…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-02 Marco Molinari , Magne Thoresen

The purpose of this paper is to propose a time-varying vector autoregressive model (TV-VAR) for forecasting multivariate time series. The model is casted into a state-space form that allows flexible description and analysis. The volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 K. Triantafyllopoulos

We introduce and explore a new class of stationary time series models for variance matrices based on a constructive definition exploiting inverse Wishart distribution theory. The main class of models explored is a novel class of stationary,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-07-27 Emily B. Fox , Mike West

In this work, we develop a novel Bayesian estimation method for the Dirichlet process (DP) mixture of the inverted Dirichlet distributions, which has been shown to be very flexible for modeling vectors with positive elements. The recently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-02-04 Zhanyu Ma , Yuping Lai

The standard quantile regression model assumes a linear relationship at the quantile of interest and that all variables are observed. We relax these assumptions by considering a partial linear model while allowing for missing linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-07 Ben Sherwood

Data-driven problem solving in many real-world applications involves analysis of time-dependent multivariate data, for which dimensionality reduction (DR) methods are often used to uncover the intrinsic structure and features of the data.…

人机交互 · 计算机科学 2021-10-28 Takanori Fujiwara , Shilpika , Naohisa Sakamoto , Jorji Nonaka , Keiji Yamamoto , Kwan-Liu Ma

The development of statistical approaches for the joint modelling of the temporal changes of imaging, biochemical, and clinical biomarkers is of paramount importance for improving the understanding of neurodegenerative disorders, and for…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-02-16 Marco Lorenzi , Maurizio Filippone , Daniel C. Alexander , Sebastien Ourselin

We consider the problem of handling missing data with deep latent variable models (DLVMs). First, we present a simple technique to train DLVMs when the training set contains missing-at-random data. Our approach, called MIWAE, is based on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-02-05 Pierre-Alexandre Mattei , Jes Frellsen

This paper proposes a variational Bayes algorithm for computationally efficient posterior and predictive inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) models. Within this context we specify a new dynamic variable/model selection strategy for…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-12-23 Gary Koop , Dimitris Korobilis