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In the setting of high-dimensional linear models with Gaussian noise, we investigate the possibility of confidence statements connected to model selection. Although there exist numerous procedures for adaptive point estimation, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-10-07 Angelika Rohde , Lutz Duembgen

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

Stochastic minimax optimization has drawn much attention over the past decade due to its broad applications in machine learning, signal processing and game theory. In some applications, the probability distribution of uncertainty depends on…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-17 Yan Gao , Yongchao Liu , Zili Luo

System reliability assessment(SRA) is a challenging task due to the limited experimental data and the complex nature of the system structures. Despite a long history dating back to \cite{buehler1957confidence}, exact methods have only been…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-06 Junpeng Gong , Xu He , Zhaohui Li

In this paper we consider the use of probabilistic or random models within a classical trust-region framework for optimization of deterministic smooth general nonlinear functions. Our method and setting differs from many stochastic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-04-11 Afonso S. Bandeira , Katya Scheinberg , Luis Nunes Vicente

The difficulty of minimizing a nonconvex function is in part explained by the presence of saddle points. This slows down optimization algorithms and impacts worst-case complexity guarantees. However, many nonconvex problems of interest…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-02-22 Florentin Goyens , Clément W. Royer

We show that, when the double bootstrap is used to improve performance of bootstrap methods for bias correction, techniques based on using a single double-bootstrap sample for each single-bootstrap sample can be particularly effective. In…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-12 Jinyuan Chang , Peter Hall

Conformal prediction methodologies have significantly advanced the quantification of uncertainties in predictive models. Yet, the construction of confidence regions for model parameters presents a notable challenge, often necessitating…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-05-30 Charles Guille-Escuret , Eugene Ndiaye

Bootstrap smoothed (bagged) parameter estimators have been proposed as an improvement on estimators found after preliminary data-based model selection. The key result of Efron (2014) is a very convenient and widely applicable formula for a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-29 Paul Kabaila , Christeen Wijethunga

Fitting parametric models by optimizing frequency domain objective functions is an attractive approach of parameter estimation in time series analysis. Whittle estimators are a prominent example in this context. Under weak conditions and…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-07-26 Jens-Peter Kreiss , Efstathios Paparoditis

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

This paper focuses on the bootstrap for network dependent processes under the conditional $\psi$-weak dependence. Such processes are distinct from other forms of random fields studied in the statistics and econometrics literature so that…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-02-01 Denis Kojevnikov

Resampling methods such as the bootstrap have proven invaluable in the field of machine learning. However, the applicability of traditional bootstrap methods is limited when dealing with large streams of dependent data, such as time series…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-28 Nicolai Palm , Thomas Nagler

Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) aims at determination of the optimal design in the presence of uncertainty. The available Single-Loop approaches for RBDO are based on the First-Order Reliability Method (FORM) for the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-10-12 Rami Mansour , Mårten Olsson

We consider the performance of the bootstrap in high-dimensions for the setting of linear regression, where $p<n$ but $p/n$ is not close to zero. We consider ordinary least-squares as well as robust regression methods and adopt a minimalist…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-03 Noureddine El Karoui , Elizabeth Purdom

A nonparametric procedure to estimate the conditional probability that a nonstationary geostatistical process exceeds a certain threshold value is proposed. The method consists of a bootstrap algorithm that combines conditional simulation…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-01 Rubén Fernández-Casal , Sergio Castillo-Páez , Mario Francisco-Fernández

Trajectory optimization and model predictive control are essential techniques underpinning advanced robotic applications, ranging from autonomous driving to full-body humanoid control. State-of-the-art algorithms have focused on data-driven…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2021-11-15 Hany Abdulsamad , Tim Dorau , Boris Belousov , Jia-Jie Zhu , Jan Peters

To solve its task, a robot needs to have the ability to interpret its perceptions. In vision, this interpretation is particularly difficult and relies on the understanding of the structure of the scene, at least to the extent of its task…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2019-01-31 Léni K. Le Goff , Ghanim Mukhtar , Alexandre Coninx , Stéphane Doncieux

Confidence interval procedures used in low dimensional settings are often inappropriate for high dimensional applications. When a large number of parameters are estimated, marginal confidence intervals associated with the most significant…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-02-24 Jean Morrison , Noah Simon

We study high-dimensional linear models with error-in-variables. Such models are motivated by various applications in econometrics, finance and genetics. These models are challenging because of the need to account for measurement errors to…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-03 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Abhishek Kaul