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A common failure mode of density models trained as variational autoencoders is to model the data without relying on their latent variables, rendering these variables useless. Two contributing factors, the underspecification of the model and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-05-10 Gábor Melis , András György , Phil Blunsom

Longitudinal data are common in clinical trials and observational studies, where missing outcomes due to dropouts are always encountered. Under such context with the assumption of missing at random, the weighted generalized estimating…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Chixiang Chen , Biyi Shen , Lijun Zhang , Yuan Xue , Ming Wang

Several tasks in information retrieval (IR) rely on assumptions regarding the distribution of some property (such as term frequency) in the data being processed. This thesis argues that such distributional assumptions can lead to incorrect…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2019-04-02 Casper Petersen

We study model selection by the Bayesian information criterion (BIC) in fixed-dimensional exploratory factor analysis over a fixed finite family of compact covariance classes. Our main result shows that the BIC is strongly consistent for…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-10 Hien Duy Nguyen , Kei Hirose

Model selection is the problem of distinguishing competing models, perhaps featuring different numbers of parameters. The statistics literature contains two distinct sets of tools, those based on information theory such as the Akaike…

天体物理学 · 物理学 2014-10-13 Andrew R Liddle

We propose an information criterion for multistep ahead predictions. It is also used for extrapolations. For the derivation, we consider multistep ahead predictions under local misspecification. In the prediction, we show that Bayesian…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-06 Keisuke Yano , Fumiyasu Komaki

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) represent the gold standard for causal inference yet remain a scarce resource. While large-scale observational data is often available, it is utilized only for retrospective fusion, and remains discarded…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-05 Erdun Gao , Liang Zhang , Jake Fawkes , Aoqi Zuo , Wenqin Liu , Haoxuan Li , Mingming Gong , Dino Sejdinovic

Model selection based on classical information criteria, such as BIC, is generally computationally demanding, but its properties are well studied. On the other hand, model selection based on parameter shrinkage by $\ell_1$-type penalties is…

机器学习 · 统计学 2013-07-10 Kun Zhang , Heng Peng , Laiwan Chan , Aapo Hyvarinen

The Akaike information criterion (AIC) has been used as a statistical criterion to compare the appropriateness of different dark energy candidate models underlying a particular data set. Under suitable conditions, the AIC is an indirect…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Ming Yang Jeremy Tan , Rahul Biswas

Selecting a minimal feature set that is maximally informative about a target variable is a central task in machine learning and statistics. Information theory provides a powerful framework for formulating feature selection algorithms --…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2023-05-05 Patricia Wollstadt , Sebastian Schmitt , Michael Wibral

Model selection is a ubiquitous problem that arises in the application of many statistical and machine learning methods. In the likelihood and related settings, it is typical to use the method of information criteria (IC) to choose the most…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-13 Hien Duy Nguyen

Information projections have found important applications in probability theory, statistics, and related areas. In the field of hypothesis testing in particular, the reverse information projection (RIPr) has recently been shown to lead to…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2024-07-31 Tyron Lardy , Peter Grünwald , Peter Harremoës

The rehearsal strategy is widely used to alleviate the catastrophic forgetting problem in class incremental learning (CIL) by preserving limited exemplars from previous tasks. With imbalanced sample numbers between old and new classes, the…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-08-28 Xiuwei Chen , Xiaobin Chang

Many practical studies rely on hypothesis testing procedures applied to data sets with missing information. An important part of the analysis is to determine the impact of the missing data on the performance of the test, and this can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2011-02-15 Dan L. Nicolae , Xiao-Li Meng , Augustine Kong

For predictive evaluation based on quasi-posterior distributions, we develop a new information criterion, the posterior covariance information criterion (PCIC. PCIC generalises the widely applicable information criterion WAIC so as to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-01-26 Yukito Iba , Keisuke Yano

Accurate conditional prediction in the regression setting plays an important role in many real-world problems. Typically, a point prediction often falls short since no attempt is made to quantify the prediction accuracy. Classically, under…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-04 Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Alpha-based performance evaluation may fail to capture correlated residuals due to model errors. This paper proposes using the Generalized Information Ratio (GIR) to measure performance under misspecified benchmarks. Motivated by the…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-04-24 Zhongzhi Lawrence He

In segmented regression, when the regression function is continuous at the change-points that are the boundaries of the segments, it is also called joinpoint regression, and the analysis package developed by \cite{KimFFM00} has become a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-06-11 Kazuki Nakajima , Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

For propensity score analysis and sparse estimation, we develop an information criterion for determining the regularization parameters needed in variable selection. First, for Gaussian distribution-based causal inference models, we extend…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-22 Yoshiyuki Ninomiya

In many conventional scientific investigations with high or ultra-high dimensional feature spaces, the relevant features, though sparse, are large in number compared with classical statistical problems, and the magnitude of their effects…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-14 Shan Luo , Zehua Chen