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Conformal prediction is a statistically rigorous method for quantifying uncertainty in models by having them output sets of predictions, with larger sets indicating more uncertainty. However, prediction sets are not inherently actionable;…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-02-17 Jesse C. Cresswell , Bhargava Kumar , Yi Sui , Mouloud Belbahri

The presence of a sparse "truth" has been a constant assumption in the theoretical analysis of sparse PCA and is often implicit in its methodological development. This naturally raises questions about the properties of sparse PCA methods…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-06 Jing Lei , Vincent Q. Vu

Panels with large time $(T)$ and cross-sectional $(N)$ dimensions are a key data structure in social sciences and other fields. A central question in panel data analysis is whether to pool data across individuals or to estimate separate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-18 Tim Kutta , Martin Schumann , Holger Dette

Confidence estimation, a task that aims to evaluate the trustworthiness of the model's prediction output during deployment, has received lots of research attention recently, due to its importance for the safe deployment of deep models.…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2022-10-14 Haoxuan Qu , Yanchao Li , Lin Geng Foo , Jason Kuen , Jiuxiang Gu , Jun Liu

We compare several confidence intervals after model selection in the setting recently studied by Berk et al. [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 802-837], where the goal is to cover not the true parameter but a certain nonstandard quantity of interest…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-30 Hannes Leeb , Benedikt M. Pötscher , Karl Ewald

An important challenge in statistical analysis lies in controlling the bias of estimators due to the ever-increasing data size and model complexity. Approximate numerical methods and data features like censoring and misclassification often…

Confidence intervals are a popular way to visualize and analyze data distributions. Unlike p-values, they can convey information both about statistical significance as well as effect size. However, very little work exists on applying…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-01-23 Jussi Korpela , Emilia Oikarinen , Kai Puolamäki , Antti Ukkonen

We assume the direct sum <A> o <B> for the signal subspace. As a result of post- measurement, a number of operational contexts presuppose the a priori knowledge of the LB -dimensional "interfering" subspace <B> and the goal is to estimate…

应用统计 · 统计学 2017-04-17 Guillaume Bouleux , Rémy Boyer

Estimation frameworks for statistical inference are preferred to hypothesis testing when quantifying uncertainty and precise estimation are more valuable than binary decisions about statistical significance. Study design for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-29 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

We consider the power to reject false values of the parameter in Frequentist methods for the calculation of confidence intervals. We connect the power with the physical significance (reliability) of confidence intervals for a parameter…

高能物理 - 实验 · 物理学 2010-12-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

This article is about estimation and inference methods for high dimensional sparse (HDS) regression models in econometrics. High dimensional sparse models arise in situations where many regressors (or series terms) are available and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-05 Alexandre Belloni , Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen

Despite the importance of having a measure of confidence in recommendation results, it has been surprisingly overlooked in the literature compared to the accuracy of the recommendation. In this dissertation, I propose a model calibration…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2024-02-27 Wonbin Kweon

We propose methodology for statistical inference for low-dimensional parameters of sparse precision matrices in a high-dimensional setting. Our method leads to a non-sparse estimator of the precision matrix whose entries have a Gaussian…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-08-13 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer

In this note we discuss a common misconception, namely that embeddings are always used to reduce the dimensionality of the item space. We show that when we measure dimensionality in terms of information entropy then the embedding of sparse…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-01-09 Maxim Naumov

We propose methodology for estimation of sparse precision matrices and statistical inference for their low-dimensional parameters in a high-dimensional setting where the number of parameters $p$ can be much larger than the sample size. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-21 Jana Janková , Sara van de Geer

Kernel density estimation is a popular method for estimating unseen probability distributions. However, the convergence of these classical estimators to the true density slows down in high dimensions. Moreover, they do not define meaningful…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-30 Jack Kendrick

Sparse approximation is important in many applications because of concise form of an approximant and good accuracy guarantees. The theory of compressed sensing, which proved to be very useful in the image processing and data sciences, is…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-02-20 V. Temlyakov

Many recently developed Bayesian methods have focused on sparse signal detection. However, much less work has been done addressing the natural follow-up question: how to make valid inferences for the magnitude of those signals after…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-03-02 Spencer Woody , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , James G. Scott

Modern statistics provides an ever-expanding toolkit for estimating unknown parameters. Consequently, applied statisticians frequently face a difficult decision: retain a parameter estimate from a familiar method or replace it with an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-12-20 Brian L. Trippe , Sameer K. Deshpande , Tamara Broderick

Certifiable, adaptive uncertainty estimates for unknown quantities are an essential ingredient of sequential decision-making algorithms. Standard approaches rely on problem-dependent concentration results and are limited to a specific…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-09 Nicolas Emmenegger , Mojmír Mutný , Andreas Krause