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We describe a simple Importance Sampling strategy for Monte Carlo simulations based on a least squares optimization procedure. With several numerical examples, we show that such Least Squares Importance Sampling (LSIS) provides efficiency…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Luca Capriotti

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

Monte Carlo sampling methods are the standard procedure for approximating complicated integrals of multidimensional posterior distributions in Bayesian inference. In this work, we focus on the class of Layered Adaptive Importance Sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-07-08 F. Llorente , E. Curbelo , L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Delgado

Under the Solvency II regime, life insurance companies are asked to derive their solvency capital requirements from the full loss distributions over the coming year. Since the industry is currently far from being endowed with sufficient…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-06 Anne-Sophie Krah , Zoran Nikolić , Ralf Korn

Importance sampling is a rare event simulation technique used in Monte Carlo simulations to bias the sampling distribution towards the rare event of interest. By assigning appropriate weights to sampled points, importance sampling allows…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-05-14 Liam A. Kruse , Alexandros E. Tzikas , Harrison Delecki , Mansur M. Arief , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Importance sampling (IS) is a technique that enables statistical estimation of output performance at multiple input distributions from a single nominal input distribution. IS is commonly used in Monte Carlo simulation for variance reduction…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-07 Yijuan Liang , Guangxin Jiang , Michael C. Fu

Consider Least Squares Monte Carlo (LSM) algorithm, which is proposed by Longstaff and Schwartz (2001) for pricing American style securities. This algorithm is based on the projection of the value of continuation onto a certain set of basis…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2011-08-01 Oleksii Mostovyi

Importance Sampling (IS) is a widely used variance reduction technique for enhancing the efficiency of Monte Carlo methods, particularly in rare-event simulation and related applications. Despite its effectiveness, the performance of IS is…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2026-02-11 Liviu Aolaritei , Bart P. G. Van Parys , Henry Lam , Michael I. Jordan

Importance sampling is a promising variance reduction technique for Monte Carlo simulation based derivative pricing. Existing importance sampling methods are based on a parametric choice of the proposal. This article proposes an algorithm…

应用统计 · 统计学 2009-04-14 Jan C. Neddermeyer

Monte Carlo methods represent the "de facto" standard for approximating complicated integrals involving multidimensional target distributions. In order to generate random realizations from the target distribution, Monte Carlo techniques use…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-01-21 L. Martino , V. Elvira , D. Luengo , J. Corander

A number of optimal decision problems with uncertainty can be formulated into a stochastic optimal control framework. The Least-Squares Monte Carlo (LSMC) algorithm is a popular numerical method to approach solutions of such stochastic…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2019-01-23 Zhiyi Shen , Chengguo Weng

Importance sampling is a powerful tool for correcting the distributional mismatch in many statistical and machine learning problems, but in practice its performance is limited by the usage of simple proposals whose importance weights can be…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-01-02 Chaofan Huang , V. Roshan Joseph

The least squares Monte Carlo algorithm has become popular for solving portfolio optimization problems. A simple approach is to approximate the value functions on a discrete grid of portfolio weights, then use control regression to…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2018-09-12 Rongju Zhang , Nicolas Langrené , Yu Tian , Zili Zhu , Fima Klebaner , Kais Hamza

We propose a technique called Optimal Analysis-Specific Importance Sampling (OASIS) to reduce the number of simulated events required for a high-energy experimental analysis to reach a target sensitivity. We provide recipes to obtain the…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2021-02-17 Konstantin T. Matchev , Prasanth Shyamsundar

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method which designs estimators of expectations under a target distribution using weighted samples from a proposal distribution. When the target distribution is complex, such as multimodal distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-04 Anas Cherradi , Yazid Janati , Alain Durmus , Sylvain Le Corff , Yohan Petetin , Julien Stoehr

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-02-11 Siheng Chen , Rohan Varma , Aarti Singh , Jelena Kovačević

Although evaluation of the expectations on the Ising model is essential in various applications, it is mostly infeasible because of intractable multiple summations. Spatial Monte Carlo integration (SMCI) is a sampling-based approximation.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-10-19 Kaiji Sekimoto , Muneki Yasuda

The aim of this paper is to introduce a new Monte Carlo method based on importance sampling techniques for the simulation of stochastic differential equations. The main idea is to combine random walk on squares or rectangles methods with…

概率论 · 数学 2010-10-22 Madalina Deaconu , Antoine Lejay

Importance sampling is a Monte Carlo method that introduces a proposal distribution to sample the space according to the target distribution. Yet calibration of the proposal distribution is essential to achieving efficiency, thus the resort…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Grégoire Aufort , Pierre Pudlo , Denis Burgarella

We introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampler called the Markov Interacting Importance Sampler (MIIS). The MIIS sampler uses conditional importance sampling (IS) approximations to jointly sample the current state of the Markov…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-26 Eduardo F. Mendes , Marcel Scharth , Robert Kohn
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