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In this contribution, we present a full overview of the continuous stochastic gradient (CSG) method, including convergence results, step size rules and algorithmic insights. We consider optimization problems in which the objective function…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2023-03-23 Max Grieshammer , Lukas Pflug , Michael Stingl , Andrian Uihlein

We present a simulation methodology for Bayesian estimation of rate parameters in Markov jump processes arising for example in stochastic kinetic models. To handle the problem of missing components and measurement errors in observed data,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-09-01 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Kuensch

Statistical analysis of extremes can be used to predict the probability of future extreme events, such as large rainfalls or devastating windstorms. The quality of these forecasts can be measured through scoring rules. Locally scale…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Helga Kristin Olafsdottir , Holger Rootzén , David Bolin

A new way to design parameter estimators with enhanced performance is proposed in the paper. The procedure consists of two stages, first, the generation of new regression forms via the application of a dynamic operator to the original…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2020-01-22 Aranovskiy Stanislav , Bobtsov Alexey , Ortega Romeo , Pyrkin Anton

We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-04-17 Julien Hambuckers , Marie Kratz , Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

Proportional rate models are among the most popular methods for analyzing the rate function of counting processes. Although providing a straightforward rate-ratio interpretation of covariate effects, the proportional rate assumption implies…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-04 Yifei Sun , Ying Sheng

Divergence estimators based on direct approximation of density-ratios without going through separate approximation of numerator and denominator densities have been successfully applied to machine learning tasks that involve distribution…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-24 Makoto Yamada , Taiji Suzuki , Takafumi Kanamori , Hirotaka Hachiya , Masashi Sugiyama

We propose a method for variable selection in discriminant analysis with mixed categorical and continuous variables. This method is based on a criterion that permits to reduce the variable selection problem to a problem of estimating…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-14 Alban Mbina Mbina , Guy Martial Nkiet , Fulgence Eyi Obiang

This paper considers estimation of sparse covariance matrices and establishes the optimal rate of convergence under a range of matrix operator norm and Bregman divergence losses. A major focus is on the derivation of a rate sharp minimax…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-14 T. Tony Cai , Harrison H. Zhou

Gradient information on the sampling distribution can be used to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimators via Stein's method. An important application is that of estimating an expectation of a test function along the sample path of a…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-29 Chris J. Oates , Jon Cockayne , François-Xavier Briol , Mark Girolami

We present a novel approach for the problem of frequency estimation in data streams that is based on optimization and machine learning. Contrary to state-of-the-art streaming frequency estimation algorithms, which heavily rely on random…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2022-07-19 Dimitris Bertsimas , Vassilis Digalakis

This paper considers the problem of cardinality estimation in data stream applications. We present a statistical analysis of probabilistic counting algorithms, focusing on two techniques that use pseudo-random variates to form…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-11-20 Peter Clifford , Ioana A. Cosma

We adapt the gradient sampling algorithm to the local scoring algorithm to solve complex estimation problems based on an optimization of an objective function. This overcomes non-differentiability and non-smoothness of the objective…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-30 Marc-Olivier Boldi , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

Partition-wise models offer a flexible approach for modeling complex and multidimensional data that are capable of producing interpretable results. They are based on partitioning the observed data into regions, each of which is modeled with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-06-07 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Thomas C. M. Lee

The Hurst exponent is a significant metric for characterizing time sequences with long-term memory property and it arises in many fields. The available methods for estimating the Hurst exponent can be categorized into time-domain and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-12-23 Hong-Yan Zhang , Zhi-Qiang Feng , Si-Yu Feng , Yu Zhou

Tail averaging consists in averaging the last examples in a stream. Common techniques either have a memory requirement which grows with the number of samples to average, are not available at every timestep or do not accomodate growing…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-02-21 Nicolas Le Roux

We study the algorithmic problem of estimating the mean of heavy-tailed random vector in $\mathbb{R}^d$, given $n$ i.i.d. samples. The goal is to design an efficient estimator that attains the optimal sub-gaussian error bound, only assuming…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-02-19 Zhixian Lei , Kyle Luh , Prayaag Venkat , Fred Zhang

We consider the estimation of quadratic functionals in a Gaussian sequence model where the eigenvalues are supposed to be unknown and accessible through noisy observations only. Imposing smoothness assumptions both on the signal and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-07-16 Martin Kroll

This study proposes improved chain-ratio type estimator for estimating population mean using some known values of population parameter(s) of the second auxiliary character. The proposed estimators have been compared with two-phase ratio…

综合数学 · 数学 2008-10-14 Rajesh Singh , Pankaj Chauhan , Nirmala Sawan , Florentin Smarandache

The basic idea of importance sampling is to use independent samples from a proposal measure in order to approximate expectations with respect to a target measure. It is key to understand how many samples are required in order to guarantee…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-17 S. Agapiou , O. Papaspiliopoulos , D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart
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