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相关论文: Bayesian sequential change diagnosis

200 篇论文

There is an obvious need for improving the performance and accuracy of a Bayesian network as new data is observed. Because of errors in model construction and changes in the dynamics of the domains, we cannot afford to ignore the…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-08 Nir Friedman , Moises Goldszmidt

The problem of detecting changes in firing patterns in neural data is studied. The problem is formulated as a quickest change detection problem. Important algorithms from the literature are reviewed. A new algorithmic technique is discussed…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2018-09-05 Taposh Banerjee , Stephen Allsop , Kay M. Tye , Demba Ba , Vahid Tarokh

A dynamic treatment regime is a sequence of medical decisions that adapts to the evolving clinical status of a patient over time. To facilitate personalized care, it is crucial to assess the probability of each available treatment option…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-11-05 Jiefeng Bi , Matteo Borrotti , Bernardo Nipoti

The problem of online change point detection is to detect abrupt changes in properties of time series, ideally as soon as possible after those changes occur. Existing work on online change point detection either assumes i.i.d data, focuses…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-01 Lei Xin , George Chiu , Shreyas Sundaram

Detecting a change point is a crucial task in statistics that has been recently extended to the quantum realm. A source state generator that emits a series of single photons in a default state suffers an alteration at some point and starts…

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

This paper introduces a novel Bayesian approach to detect changes in the variance of a Gaussian sequence model, focusing on quantifying the uncertainty in the change point locations and providing a scalable algorithm for inference. Such a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-04 Lorenzo Cappello , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Sequential Bayesian experimental design typically assumes that the number of experiments is fixed before data collection begins. In practical campaigns, however, experimentation may need to terminate early because additional measurements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-29 Chen Cheng , Xun Huan

Sequential multi-class diagnosis, also known as multi-hypothesis testing, is a classical sequential decision problem with broad applications. However, the optimal solution remains, in general, unknown as the dynamic program suffers from the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2020-12-07 Jue Wang

Parameter identification problems are formulated in a probabilistic language, where the randomness reflects the uncertainty about the knowledge of the true values. This setting allows conceptually easily to incorporate new information, e.g.…

Classifier predictions often rely on the assumption that new observations come from the same distribution as training data. When the underlying distribution changes, so does the optimal classification rule, and performance may degrade. We…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-09-01 Ciaran Evans , Max G'Sell

Rapid detection of spatial events that propagate across a sensor network is of wide interest in many modern applications. In particular, in communications, radar, IoT, environmental monitoring, and biosurveillance, we may observe…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Topi Halme , Eyal Nitzan , Visa Koivunen

We consider a quantum system that is being continuously monitored, giving rise to a measurement signal. From such a stream of data, information needs to be inferred about the underlying system's dynamics. Here we focus on hypothesis testing…

量子物理 · 物理学 2024-03-27 Giulio Gasbarri , Matias Bilkis , Elisabet Roda-Salichs , John Calsamiglia

This paper addresses the issue of detecting change-points in multivariate time series. The proposed approach differs from existing counterparts by making only weak assumptions on both the change-points structure across series, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-14 Flore Harlé , Florent Chatelain , Cédric Gouy-Pailler , Sophie Achard

Assume that there are multiple data streams (channels, sensors) and in each stream the process of interest produces generally dependent and non-identically distributed observations. When the process is in a normal mode (in-control), the…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-25 Alexander Tartakovsky

A sequential design problem for rank aggregation is commonly encountered in psychology, politics, marketing, sports, etc. In this problem, a decision maker is responsible for ranking $K$ items by sequentially collecting pairwise noisy…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-18 Xi Chen , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

In processing and manufacturing industries, there has been a large push to produce higher quality products and ensure maximum efficiency of processes. This requires approaches to effectively detect and resolve disturbances to ensure optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-02-05 Weike Sun , Antonio R. C. Paiva , Peng Xu , Anantha Sundaram , Richard D. Braatz

We consider a sequential Bayesian changepoint detection problem for a general stochastic model, assuming that the observed data may be dependent and non-identically distributed and the prior distribution of the change point is arbitrary,…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-15 Alexander G. Tartakovsky

In the classical quickest detection problem, one must detect as quickly as possible when a Brownian motion without drift "changes" into a Brownian motion with positive drift. The change occurs at an unknown "disorder" time with exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-29 Robert C. Dalang , Albert N. Shiryaev

We consider the problem of sequential change detection, where the goal is to design a scheme for detecting any changes in a parameter or functional $\theta$ of the data stream distribution that has small detection delay, but guarantees…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-28 Shubhanshu Shekhar , Aaditya Ramdas