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Bayesian optimization is a sequential method for minimizing objective functions that are expensive to evaluate and about which few assumptions can be made. By using all gathered data to train a Gaussian process model for the function and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-05-07 Jesse Schneider , William J. Welch

Spatial fields in the Earth and environmental sciences are often available at multiple scales or resolutions. While coarse-scale data (e.g., from global circulation models) are often abundant, they lack the local detail provided by…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-01 Alejandro Calle-Saldarriaga , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Choosing appropriate hyperparameters plays a crucial role in the success of neural networks as hyper-parameters directly control the behavior and performance of the training algorithms. To obtain efficient tuning, Bayesian optimization…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-02-08 Jiazhao Zhang , Ying Hung , Chung-Ching Lin , Zicheng Liu

We propose a fully Bayesian approach for causal inference with multivariate categorical data based on staged tree models, a class of probabilistic graphical models capable of representing asymmetric and context-specific dependencies. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-06 Andrea Cremaschi , Manuele Leonelli , Gherardo Varando

We provide four case studies that use Bayesian machinery to making inductive reasoning. Our main motivation relies in offering several instances where the Bayesian approach to data analysis is exploited at its best to perform complex tasks,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-11-18 Juan Sosa , Lina Buitrago

Within machine learning, the supervised learning field aims at modeling the input-output relationship of a system, from past observations of its behavior. Decision trees characterize the input-output relationship through a series of nested…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-05-20 Arnaud Joly

Physical simulation-based optimization is a common task in science and engineering. Many such simulations produce image- or tensor-based outputs where the desired objective is a function of those outputs, and optimization is performed over…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-12-01 Wesley Maddox , Qing Feng , Max Balandat

This paper shows that gradient boosting based on symmetric decision trees can be equivalently reformulated as a kernel method that converges to the solution of a certain Kernel Ridge Regression problem. Thus, we obtain the convergence to a…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-03-14 Aleksei Ustimenko , Artem Beliakov , Liudmila Prokhorenkova

This paper presents Sparse Partitioning, a Bayesian method for identifying predictors that either individually or in combination with others affect a response variable. The method is designed for regression problems involving binary or…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2011-08-31 Doug Speed , Simon Tavaré

Physical mechanisms of phase separation in living systems can play key physiological roles and have recently been the focus of intensive studies. The strongly heterogeneous and disordered nature of such phenomena in the biological domain…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-01-28 N. Lauber , O. Tichacek , R. Bose , C. Flamm , L. Leuzzi , T-Y Dora tang , K. Ruiz-Mirazo , D. De Martino

Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) is a very successful ensemble learning algorithm widely used across a variety of applications. Recently, several variants of GBDT training algorithms and implementations have been designed and heavily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-27 Yu Shi , Jian Li , Zhize Li

We present a survey of some of our recent results on Bayesian nonparametric inference for a multitude of stochastic processes. The common feature is that the prior distribution in the cases considered is on suitable sets of piecewise…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-06-04 Denis Belomestny , Frank van der Meulen , Peter Spreij

In this paper, we introduce a new machine learning (ML) model for nonlinear regression called the Boosted Smooth Transition Regression Trees (BooST), which is a combination of boosting algorithms with smooth transition regression trees. The…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Yuri Fonseca , Marcelo Medeiros , Gabriel Vasconcelos , Alvaro Veiga

Based on decision trees, many fields have arguably made tremendous progress in recent years. In simple words, decision trees use the strategy of "divide-and-conquer" to divide the complex problem on the dependency between input features and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-01-22 Jinxiong Zhang

The increased demand for online prediction and the growing availability of large data sets drives the need for computationally efficient models. While exact Gaussian process regression shows various favorable theoretical properties…

In this paper we introduce a significant improvement to the popular tree-based Stochastic Gradient Boosting algorithm using a wavelet decomposition of the trees. This approach is based on harmonic analysis and approximation theoretical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-05-06 Shai Dekel , Oren Elisha , Ohad Morgan

We address the problem of Bayesian reinforcement learning using efficient model-based online planning. We propose an optimism-free Bayes-adaptive algorithm to induce deeper and sparser exploration with a theoretical bound on its performance…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-06-30 Divya Grover , Debabrota Basu , Christos Dimitrakakis

In this work, we consider the coupled systems of linear unsteady partial differential equations, which arise in the modeling of poroelasticity processes. Stability estimates of weighted difference schemes for the coupled system of equations…

数值分析 · 计算机科学 2013-11-18 A. E. Kolesov , P. N. Vabishchevich , M. V. Vasilyeva

Tensor regression methods have been widely used to predict a scalar response from covariates in the form of a multiway array. In many applications, the regions of tensor covariates used for prediction are often spatially connected with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-04-02 Shuoli Chen , Kejun He , Shiyuan He , Yang Ni , Raymond K. W. Wong

Gradient boosting from the field of statistical learning is widely known as a powerful framework for estimation and selection of predictor effects in various regression models by adapting concepts from classification theory. Current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-11-03 Colin Griesbach , Benjamin Säfken , Elisabeth Waldmann