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The efficient evaluation of high-dimensional integrals is of importance in both theoretical and practical fields of science, such as data science, statistical physics, and machine learning. However, exact computation methods suffer from the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-15 Radislav Vaisman , Robert Salomone , Dirk P. Kroese

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

In this review, we address the use of Monte Carlo methods for approximating definite integrals of the form $Z = \int L(x) d P(x)$, where $L$ is a target function (often a likelihood) and $P$ a finite measure. We present vertical-likelihood…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-06-24 Nicholas G. Polson , James G. Scott

The reduced density matrix of excitons coupled to a phonon bath at a finite temperature is studied using the path integral Monte Carlo method. Appropriate choices of estimators and importance sampling schemes are crucial to the performance…

量子物理 · 物理学 2015-06-04 Sangwoo Shim , Alán Aspuru-Guzik

Importance sampling is one of the most widely used variance reduction strategies in Monte Carlo rendering. In this paper, we propose a novel importance sampling technique that uses a neural network to learn how to sample from a desired…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-25 Quan Zheng , Matthias Zwicker

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li

Determinantal points processes are a promising but relatively under-developed tool in machine learning and statistical modelling, being the canonical statistical example of distributions with repulsion. While their mathematical formulation…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-03-31 Nicholas P Baskerville

We present a quantum Monte Carlo method capable of sampling the full density matrix of a many-particle system at finite temperature. This allows arbitrary reduced density matrix elements and expectation values of complicated non-local…

计算物理 · 物理学 2015-06-15 N. S. Blunt , T. W. Rogers , J. S. Spencer , W. M. C. Foulkes

The reliability of a complex industrial system can rarely be assessed analytically. As system failure is often a rare event, crude Monte-Carlo methods are prohibitively expensive from a computational point of view. In order to reduce…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-06-03 H. Chraibi , A. Dutfoy , T. Galtier , J. Garnier

Importance weighting is a general way to adjust Monte Carlo integration to account for draws from the wrong distribution, but the resulting estimate can be highly variable when the importance ratios have a heavy right tail. This routinely…

统计计算 · 统计学 2024-04-12 Aki Vehtari , Daniel Simpson , Andrew Gelman , Yuling Yao , Jonah Gabry

Estimating the density of a continuous random variable X has been studied extensively in statistics, in the setting where n independent observations of X are given a priori and one wishes to estimate the density from that. Popular methods…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-09-09 Pierre L'Ecuyer , Florian Puchhammer

Space filling designs are central to studying complex systems in various areas of science. They are used for obtaining an overall understanding of the behaviour of the response over the input space, model construction and uncertainty…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-08-10 Shirin Golchi , Jason L. Loeppky

The basic idea of importance sampling is to use independent samples from a proposal measure in order to approximate expectations with respect to a target measure. It is key to understand how many samples are required in order to guarantee…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-01-17 S. Agapiou , O. Papaspiliopoulos , D. Sanz-Alonso , A. M. Stuart

Classical algorithms in numerical analysis for numerical integration (quadrature/cubature) follow the principle of approximate and integrate: the integrand is approximated by a simple function (e.g. a polynomial), which is then integrated…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-06-15 Yuji Nakatsukasa

Importance sampling is a common technique for Monte Carlo approximation, including Monte Carlo approximation of p-values. Here it is shown that a simple correction of the usual importance sampling p-values creates valid p-values, meaning…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-04-12 Matthew T. Harrison

The spectral representation separates the contributions of geometrical arrangement (topology) and intrinsic constituent properties in a composite. The aim of paper is to present a numerical algorithm based on the Monte Carlo integration and…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Enis Tuncer

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to reduce the variance of a Monte Carlo estimator by an appropriate change of measure. In this work, we study importance sam- pling in the framework of diffusion process and consider the change…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-28 Carsten Hartmann , Christof Schütte , Marcus Weber , Wei Zhang

We propose an adaptive importance sampling scheme for Gaussian approximations of intractable posteriors. Optimization-based approximations like variational inference can be too inaccurate while existing Monte Carlo methods can be too slow.…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-02-04 Willem van den Boom , Andrea Cremaschi , Alexandre H. Thiery

Importance sampling is a popular variance reduction method for Monte Carlo estimation, where a notorious question is how to design good proposal distributions. While in most cases optimal (zero-variance) estimators are theoretically…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-22 Carsten Hartmann , Lorenz Richter

To efficiently evaluate system reliability based on Monte Carlo simulation, importance sampling is used widely. The optimal importance sampling density was derived in 1950s for the deterministic simulation model, which maps an input to an…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-06-04 Quoc Dung Cao , Youngjun Choe