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Bayesian estimation is a powerful theoretical paradigm for the operation of quantum sensors. However, the Bayesian method for statistical inference generally suffers from demanding calibration requirements that have so far restricted its…

量子物理 · 物理学 2021-09-22 Samuel P. Nolan , Augusto Smerzi , Luca Pezzè

The present article is focused on the problem of prediction of student failures with the purpose of their possible prevention by timely introducing supportive measures. We propose a concept for building a predictive model based on Bayesian…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-04-22 T. A. Kustitskaya , A. A. Kytmanov , M. V. Noskov

This study examines the application of Bayesian approach in the context of clinical trials, emphasizing their increasing importance in contemporary biomedical research. While conventional frequentist approach provides a foundational basis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-01-16 Paramahansa Pramanik , Arnab Kumar Maity , Anjan Mandal , Haley Kate Robinson

Bayesian decision theory outlines a rigorous framework for making optimal decisions based on maximizing expected utility over a model posterior. However, practitioners often do not have access to the full posterior and resort to approximate…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-10-29 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

Whereas acausal Bayesian networks represent probabilistic independence, causal Bayesian networks represent causal relationships. In this paper, we examine Bayesian methods for learning both types of networks. Bayesian methods for learning…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2015-05-19 David Heckerman

We propose a new approach to explain Bayesian Networks. The approach revolves around a new definition of a probabilistic argument and the evidence it provides. We define a notion of independent arguments, and propose an algorithm to extract…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2021-12-03 Jaime Sevilla

Model-based diagnosis reasons backwards from a functional schematic of a system to isolate faults given observations of anomalous behavior. We develop a fully probabilistic approach to model based diagnosis and extend it to support…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2013-02-28 Sampath Srinivas

The last decade witnessed a growing interest in Bayesian learning. Yet, the technicality of the topic and the multitude of ingredients involved therein, besides the complexity of turning theory into practical implementations, limit the use…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-02-01 Martin Magris , Alexandros Iosifidis

We develop the theory and practice of an approach to modelling and probabilistic inference in causal networks that is suitable when application-specific or analysis-specific constraints should inform such inference or when little or no data…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-05-16 Paul Beaumont , Michael Huth

We present a new method to propagate lower bounds on conditional probability distributions in conventional Bayesian networks. Our method guarantees to provide outer approximations of the exact lower bounds. A key advantage is that we can…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-05-14 Daniel Andrade , Bernhard Sick

We provide a method for approximating Bayesian inference using rejection sampling. We not only make the process efficient, but also dramatically reduce the memory required relative to conventional methods by combining rejection sampling…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2015-12-04 Nathan Wiebe , Christopher Granade , Ashish Kapoor , Krysta M Svore

The number of modes in a probability density function is representative of the complexity of a model and can also be viewed as the number of subpopulations. Despite its relevance, there has been limited research in this area. A novel…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-09 José E. Chacón , Javier Fernández Serrano

A novel Bayesian modulation classification scheme is proposed for a single-antenna system over frequency-selective fading channels. The method is based on Gibbs sampling as applied to a latent Dirichlet Bayesian network (BN). The use of the…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-15 Yu Liu , Osvaldo Simeone , Alexander M. Haimovich , Wei Su

Causal Bayesian networks are widely used tools for summarising the dependencies between variables and elucidating their putative causal relationships. By restricting the search to trees, for example, learning the optimum from data is…

统计计算 · 统计学 2025-03-10 Felix L. Rios , Giusi Moffa , Jack Kuipers

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Now that Bayesian Networks (BNs) have become widely used, an appreciation is developing of just how critical an awareness of the sensitivity and robustness of certain target variables are to changes in the model. When time resources are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-11-20 Sophia K. Wright , Jim Q. Smith

A wide range of machine learning algorithms iteratively add data to the training sample. Examples include semi-supervised learning, active learning, multi-armed bandits, and Bayesian optimization. We embed this kind of data addition into…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-06-25 Julian Rodemann

In this paper we examine the problem of inference in Bayesian Networks with discrete random variables that have very large or even unbounded domains. For example, in a domain where we are trying to identify a person, we may have variables…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-12-12 Rita Sharma , David L Poole

We describe a network clustering framework, based on finite mixture models, that can be applied to discrete-valued networks with hundreds of thousands of nodes and billions of edge variables. Relative to other recent model-based clustering…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-03-13 Duy Q. Vu , David R. Hunter , Michael Schweinberger

We present a novel approach for training deep neural networks in a Bayesian way. Classical, i.e. non-Bayesian, deep learning has two major drawbacks both originating from the fact that network parameters are considered to be deterministic.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2019-03-11 Konstantin Posch , Jan Steinbrener , Jürgen Pilz