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Monte Carlo (MC) sampling methods are widely applied in Bayesian inference, system simulation and optimization problems. The Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are a well-known class of MC methods which generate a Markov chain with…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-06-21 Luca Martino , Victor Elvira

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a sampling-based method for estimating features of probability distributions. MCMC methods produce a serially correlated, yet representative, sample from the desired distribution. As such it can be…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-10 Dootika Vats , Nathan Robertson , James M Flegal , Galin L Jones

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms provide a very general recipe for estimating properties of complicated distributions. While their use has become commonplace and there is a large literature on MCMC theory and practice, MCMC users…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-05-03 Murali Haran , Luke Tierney

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithms which combine numerical approximation of Hamiltonian dynamics on finite intervals with stochastic refreshment and Metropolis correction are popular sampling schemes, but it is known that they may…

统计计算 · 统计学 2022-08-16 Peter A. Whalley , Daniel Paulin , Benedict Leimkuhler

Markov jump processes (or continuous-time Markov chains) are a simple and important class of continuous-time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of simulating from the posterior distribution over paths in these models,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2013-10-21 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

We consider posterior sampling in the very common Bayesian hierarchical model in which observed data depends on high-dimensional latent variables that, in turn, depend on relatively few hyperparameters. When the full conditional over the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-10-24 Richard A. Norton , J. Andres Christen , Colin Fox

Communication costs, resulting from synchronization requirements during learning, can greatly slow down many parallel machine learning algorithms. In this paper, we present a parallel Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm in which…

机器学习 · 统计学 2014-03-24 Willie Neiswanger , Chong Wang , Eric Xing

Analogue to the well-known Langevin Monte Carlo method, in this article we provide a method to sample from a target distribution \(\pi\) by simulating a solution of a stochastic differential equation. Hereby, the stochastic differential…

概率论 · 数学 2023-03-15 David Oechsler

Monte Carlo methods are widely used to estimate observables in many-body quantum systems. However, conventional sampling schemes often require a large number of samples to achieve sufficient accuracy. In this work we propose the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-29 Wenxuan Zhang , Dingzu Wang , Dario Poletti

Sequential Monte Carlo techniques are useful for state estimation in non-linear, non-Gaussian dynamic models. These methods allow us to approximate the joint posterior distribution using sequential importance sampling. In this framework,…

统计计算 · 统计学 2012-07-09 Mike Klaas , Nando de Freitas , Arnaud Doucet

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms are widely used to sample from complicated distributions, especially to sample from the posterior distribution in Bayesian inference. However, MCMC is not directly applicable when facing the doubly…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-03-29 Guanyang Wang

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) is a methodology for sampling approximately from a sequence of probability distributions of increasing dimension and estimating their normalizing constants. We propose here an alternative methodology named…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-13 Anthony Brockwell , Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Markov jump processes (MJPs) are continuous-time stochastic processes widely used in a variety of applied disciplines. Inference for MJPs typically proceeds via Markov chain Monte Carlo, the state-of-the-art being a uniformization-based…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Boqian Zhang , Vinayak Rao

This simple note lays out a few observations which are well known in many ways but may not have been said in quite this way before. The basic idea is that when comparing two different Markov chains it is useful to couple them is such a way…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-16 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly

We consider the theoretical analysis of Multiscale Sampling Methods, which are a new class of gradient-free Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for high dimensional inverse differential equation problems. A detailed presentation of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-06 Lucas Seiffert , Felipe Pereira

We present a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme based on merges and splits of groups that is capable of efficiently sampling from the posterior distribution of network partitions, defined according to the stochastic block model (SBM). We…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-07-14 Tiago P. Peixoto

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

There has been substantial interest in developing Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms based on piecewise-deterministic Markov processes. However existing algorithms can only be used if the target distribution of interest is differentiable…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-11-12 Augustin Chevallier , Sam Power , Andi Q. Wang , Paul Fearnhead

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

Recently there have been exciting developments in Monte Carlo methods, with the development of new MCMC and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) algorithms which are based on continuous-time, rather than discrete-time, Markov processes. This has…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-09-29 Paul Fearnhead , Joris Bierkens , Murray Pollock , Gareth O Roberts