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This paper considers the maximum likelihood estimation of factor models of high dimension, where the number of variables (N) is comparable with or even greater than the number of observations (T). An inferential theory is developed. We…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-31 Jushan Bai , Kunpeng Li

We focus on the problem estimating a monotone trend function under additive and dependent noise. New point-wise confidence interval estimators under both short- and long-range dependent errors are introduced and studied. These intervals are…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-02-23 Pramita Bagchi , Moulinath Banerjee , Stilian Stoev

In this paper, we address the inverse problem, or the statistical machine learning problem, in Markov random fields with a non-parametric pair-wise energy function with continuous variables. The inverse problem is formulated by maximum…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-08-02 Muneki Yasuda , Shun Kataoka

We consider optimal decision-making problems in an uncertain environment. In particular, we consider the case in which the distribution of the input is unknown, yet there is abundant historical data drawn from the distribution. In this…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2014-10-03 Zizhuo Wang , Peter Glynn , Yinyu Ye

The primary objective of this scholarly work is to develop two estimation procedures - maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and method of trimmed moments (MTM) - for the mean and variance of lognormal insurance payment severity data sets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-22 Chudamani Poudyal

We show that a maximum likelihood approach for parameter estimation in agent-based models (ABMs) of opinion dynamics outperforms the typical simulation-based approach. Simulation-based approaches simulate the model repeatedly in search of a…

社会与信息网络 · 计算机科学 2023-10-06 Jacopo Lenti , Corrado Monti , Gianmarco De Francisci Morales

The asymptotic normality of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) is a cornerstone of statistical theory. In the present paper, we provide sharp explicit upper bounds on Zolotarev-type distances between the exact, unknown distribution of…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-04-19 Andreas Anastasiou , Christophe Ley

We explore the possibility of evaluating flow harmonics by employing the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE). For a given finite multiplicity, the MLE simultaneously furnishes estimations for all the parameters of the underlying distribution…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-08-16 Chong Ye , Wei-Liang Qian , Rui-Hong Yue , Yogiro Hama , Takeshi Kodama

The large-sample properties of likelihood-based statistical inference under mixture models have received much attention from statisticians. Although the consistency of the nonparametric MLE is regarded as a standard conclusion, many…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-07-06 Jiahua Chen

We solve the problem of estimating the distribution of presumed i.i.d. observations for the total variation loss. Our approach is based on density models and is versatile enough to cope with many different ones, including some density…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-01-05 Y. Baraud , H. Halconruy , G. Maillard

Robust decision making involves making decisions in the presence of uncertainty and is often used in critical domains such as healthcare, supply chains, and finance. Causality plays a crucial role in decision-making as it predicts the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-07-23 Saideep Nannapaneni , Joseph Sakaya , Kyle Caron , Pedro HM Albuquerque , Zaid Tashman

Despite widespread success in language understanding and generation, large language models (LLMs) exhibit unclear and often inconsistent behavior when faced with tasks that require probabilistic reasoning. In this work, we present the first…

In this manuscript, we consider a finite nonparametric mixture model with non-independent marginal density functions. Dependence between the marginal densities is modeled using a copula device. Until recently, no deterministic algorithms…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-23 Michael Levine

We propose a unified framework for likelihood-based regression modeling when the response variable has finite support. Our work is motivated by the fact that, in practice, observed data are discrete and bounded. The proposed methods assume…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-13 Karl Oskar Ekvall , Matteo Bottai

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

We consider estimation in a particular semiparametric regression model for the mean of a counting process with ``panel count'' data. The basic model assumption is that the conditional mean function of the counting process is of the form…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Jon A. Wellner , Ying Zhang

The design of optimal test statistics is a key task in frequentist statistics and for a number of scenarios optimal test statistics such as the profile-likelihood ratio are known. By turning this argument around we can find the profile…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-03-25 Lukas Heinrich

Determinantal point processes (DPPs) have wide-ranging applications in machine learning, where they are used to enforce the notion of diversity in subset selection problems. Many estimators have been proposed, but surprisingly the basic…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-07-25 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel , Ankur Moitra , Philippe Rigollet , John Urschel

Modern machine learning embeddings provide powerful compression of high-dimensional data, yet they typically destroy the geometric structure required for classical likelihood-based statistical inference. This paper develops a rigorous…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-30 Deniz Akdemir

This paper introduces a high-dimensional binary variate model that accommodates nonstationary covariates and factors, and studies their asymptotic theory. This framework encompasses scenarios where single indices are nonstationary or…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-29 Xinbing Kong , Bin Wu , Wuyi Ye
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