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Several classical results on boundary crossing probabilities of Brownian motion and random walks are extended to asymptotically Gaussian random fields, which include sums of i.i.d. random variables with multidimensional indices,…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

概率论 · 数学 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

This paper derives new bounds on the difference of the entropies of two discrete random variables in terms of the local and total variation distances between their probability mass functions. The derivation of the bounds relies on maximal…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-11-17 Igal Sason

We study the N-step binary stationary ergodic Markov chain and analyze its differential entropy. Supposing that the correlations are weak we express the conditional probability function of the chain through the pair correlation function and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 S. S. Melnik , O. V. Usatenko

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

Gaussian processes (GPs) provide a probabilistic nonparametric representation of functions in regression, classification, and other problems. Unfortunately, exact learning with GPs is intractable for large datasets. A variety of approximate…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2012-03-19 Yuan , Qi , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad , Thomas P. Minka

We investigate small deviation properties of Gaussian random fields in the space $L_q(\R^N,\mu)$ where $\mu$ is an arbitrary finite compactly supported Borel measure. Of special interest are hereby "thin" measures $\mu$, i.e., those which…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Mikhail Lifshits , Werner Linde , Zhan Shi

Sparse variational Gaussian process (GP) approximations based on inducing points have become the de facto standard for scaling GPs to large datasets, owing to their theoretical elegance, computational efficiency, and ease of implementation.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-02-14 Thang D. Bui , Matthew Ashman , Richard E. Turner

In many applications, the probability density function is subject to experimental errors. In this work the continuos dependence of a class of generalized entropies on the experimental errors is studied. This class includes the C. Shannon,…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-05-20 György Steinbrecher , Giorgio Sonnino

Suprema of random processes appear naturally in a plethora of disciplines, and Talagrand's majorizing theorem yields a geometric interpretation for them: for a centered Gaussian random process $(X_t)_{t \in T},$ $\mathbb{E}[\sup_{t \in…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-04 Simona Diaconu

Inference for GP models with non-Gaussian noises is computationally expensive when dealing with large datasets. Many recent inference methods approximate the posterior distribution with a simpler distribution defined on a small number of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-09-11 Linfeng Liu , Liping Liu

This work leverages recent advances in probabilistic machine learning to discover conservation laws expressed by parametric linear equations. Such equations involve, but are not limited to, ordinary and partial differential,…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-09-13 Maziar Raissi , George Em. Karniadakis

Monte Carlo sampling techniques have broad applications in machine learning, Bayesian posterior inference, and parameter estimation. Often the target distribution takes the form of a product distribution over a dataset with a large number…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-09-19 Charles Matthews , Jonathan Weare

We present elliptical processes, a family of non-parametric probabilistic models that subsume Gaussian processes and Student's t processes. This generalization includes a range of new heavy-tailed behaviors while retaining computational…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-23 Maria Bånkestad , Jens Sjölund , Jalil Taghia , Thomas B. Schöon

We obtain the tail probability of generalized sub-Gaussian canonical processes. It can be viewed as a variant of the Bernstein-type inequality in the i.i.d case, and we further get a tighter bound of concentration inequality through…

概率论 · 数学 2024-02-02 Yiming Chen , Yuxuan Wang , Kefan Zhu

This work performs a non-asymptotic analysis of the generalized Lasso under the assumption of sub-exponential data. Our main results continue recent research on the benchmark case of (sub-)Gaussian sample distributions and thereby explore…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-18 Martin Genzel , Christian Kipp

Gaussian processes are used in many machine learning applications that rely on uncertainty quantification. Recently, computational tools for working with these models in geometric settings, such as when inputs lie on a Riemannian manifold,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2023-10-31 Paul Rosa , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Alexander Terenin , Judith Rousseau

The results of a series of theoretical studies are reported, examining the convergence rate for different approximate representations of $\alpha$-stable distributions. Although they play a key role in modelling random processes with jumps…

概率论 · 数学 2020-01-03 Marina Riabiz , Tohid Ardeshiri , Ioannis Kontoyiannis , Simon Godsill

We propose a method to derive the stationary size distributions of a system, and the degree distributions of networks, using maximisation of the Gibbs-Shannon entropy. We apply this to a preferential attachment-type algorithm for systems of…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-03-17 Cornelia Metzig , Caroline Colijn

Deep Gaussian Processes learn probabilistic data representations for supervised learning by cascading multiple Gaussian Processes. While this model family promises flexible predictive distributions, exact inference is not tractable.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-10-23 Jakob Lindinger , David Reeb , Christoph Lippert , Barbara Rakitsch