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相关论文: Causal inference in longitudinal studies with hist…

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Marginal Structural Models (MSMs) are popular for causal inference of sequential treatments in longitudinal observational studies, which however are sensitive to model misspecification. To achieve flexible modeling, we envision the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-21 Chenyin Gao , Han Chen , Anru R. Zhang , Shu Yang

Observational longitudinal data on treatments and covariates are increasingly used to investigate treatment effects, but are often subject to time-dependent confounding. Marginal structural models (MSMs), estimated using inverse probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-02-11 Ruth H. Keogh , Shaun R. Seaman , Jon Michael Gran , Stijn Vansteelandt

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are widely used in observational studies to estimate the causal effect of time-varying treatments. Despite its popularity, limited attention has been paid to summarizing the treatment history in the outcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-09-18 Jiewen Liu , Todd A. Miano , Stephen Griffiths , Michael G. S. Shashaty , Wei Yang

Longitudinal observational patient data can be used to investigate the causal effects of time-varying treatments on time-to-event outcomes. Several methods have been developed for controlling for the time-dependent confounding that…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-10-08 Ruth H. Keogh , Jon Michael Gran , Shaun R. Seaman , Gwyneth Davies , Stijn Vansteelandt

Robins (1998) introduced marginal structural models (MSMs), a general class of counterfactual models for the joint effects of time-varying treatment regimes in complex longitudinal studies subject to time-varying confounding. He established…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-09-17 Eric J Tchetgen Tchetgen , Haben Michael , Yifan Cui

Marginal structural models (MSMs) are often used to estimate causal effects of treatments on survival time outcomes from observational data when time-dependent confounding may be present. They can be fitted using, e.g., inverse probability…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-12-27 Shaun R Seaman , Ruth H Keogh

Robins 1997 introduced marginal structural models (MSMs), a general class of counterfactual models for the joint effects of time-varying treatment regimes in complex longitudinal studies subject to time-varying confounding. In his work,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-27 Haben Michael , Yifan Cui , Scott Lorch , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Marginal structural models (MSMs) allow for causal analysis of longitudinal data. The MSMs were originally developed as discrete time models. Recently, continuous-time MSMs were presented as a conceptually appealing alternative for survival…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-02-14 Pål Christie Ryalen , Mats Julius Stensrud , Kjetil Røysland

Two of the principle tasks of causal inference are to define and estimate the effect of a treatment on an outcome of interest. Formally, such treatment effects are defined as a possibly functional summary of the data generating…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-01-26 Herbert Susmann , Antoine Chambaz

In longitudinal studies where units are embedded in space or a social network, interference may arise, meaning that a unit's outcome can depend on treatment histories of others. The presence of interference poses significant challenges for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-08-26 Ye Wang , Michael Jetsupphasuk

Objectives: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) can inform decision-making concerning treatment initiation. Here, one requires predicted risks assuming that no treatment is given. This is challenging since CPMs are often derived in datasets…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-09-21 Matthew Sperrin , Glen Martin , Tjeerd Van Staa , Niels Peek , Iain Buchan

This study introduces an integrated framework for predictive causal inference designed to overcome limitations inherent in conventional single model approaches. Specifically, we combine a Hidden Markov Model (HMM) for spatial health state…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-10-31 Byunghee Lee , Hye Yeon Sin , Joonsung Kang

Inverse probability (IP) weighting of marginal structural models (MSMs) can provide consistent estimators of time-varying treatment effects under correct model specifications and identifiability assumptions, even in the presence of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-15 Nodoka Seya , Masataka Taguri , Takeo Ishii

In large observational studies, the case-cohort design is commonly used to reduce the cost associated with covariate measurement. For survival outcomes, literature has suggested that the restricted mean survival time (RMST) be a more…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-08 Andy Ni , Wei-En Lu , Bo Lu

Structural Nested Mean Models (SNMMs) are useful for causal inference of treatment effects in longitudinal observational studies. Most existing works assume that the data are collected at pre-fixed time points for all subjects, which,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-13 Shu Yang

Marginal structural models were introduced in order to provide estimates of causal effects from interventions based on observational studies in epidemiological research. The key point is that this can be understood in terms of Girsanov's…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-07-15 Kjetil Røysland

A typical problem in causal modeling is the instability of model structure learning, i.e., small changes in finite data can result in completely different optimal models. The present work introduces a novel causal modeling algorithm for…

In longitudinal observational studies, marginal structural models (MSMs) are a class of causal models used to analyse the effect of an exposure on the (time-to-event) outcome of interest, while accounting for exposure-affected…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-11-04 Marta Spreafico

Causal inference for observational longitudinal studies often requires the accurate estimation of treatment effects on time-to-event outcomes in the presence of time-dependent patient history and time-dependent covariates. To tackle this…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-06-17 Jie Zhu , Blanca Gallego

Sensitivity analysis is important to assess the impact of unmeasured confounding in causal inference from observational studies. The marginal sensitivity model (MSM) provides a useful approach in quantifying the influence of unmeasured…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-14 Yi Zhang , Wenfu Xu , Zhiqiang Tan
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