中文

What to Expect When You're Expecting

概率论 2026-06-29 v1

摘要

The marginal degree of sums in dimension nn is the smallest integer kk such that the joint distributions of all subcollections of at most kk coordinates of a real-valued random vector (X1,,Xn)\left(X_1,\ldots,X_n\right) determine the value of \E(X1++Xn)\E\left(X_1+\cdots+X_n\right), whenever this expectation is defined. For every n2n\ge2, we prove that this marginal degree is n/2\left\lceil n/2\right\rceil. The upper bound follows from a theorem of Simons (1977). The lower bound is proved by constructing, for every 1k<n/21\le k<\left\lceil n/2\right\rceil, two joint laws whose marginals of dimension at most kk agree, but for which the corresponding expectations of X1++XnX_1+\cdots+X_n are defined and unequal.

引用

@article{arxiv.2606.30400,
  title  = {What to Expect When You're Expecting},
  author = {Mark Whitmeyer},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2606.30400},
  year   = {2026}
}