SETI's blind spot: Technological Acceleration and fleeting technosignatures
摘要
The search for extraterrestrial intelligence (SETI) has traditionally framed the detection challenge with a focus on the parameter in the Drake equation - the communicative lifetime of a civilisation. I argue that the more pertinent quantity is , the duration during which a civilisation produces technosignatures that are \emph{actually detectable by us, now}. Modelling technological progress as an exponential process, we show that , where is the rate of technological acceleration and brackets the technology levels accessible to our instruments. As increases, can shrink to mere decades, dramatically narrowing the window in which civilisations overlap technically. This ``technology mismatch'' has implications for future search strategies, emphasising broadband and technology-agnostic approaches, as well as anomaly detection across multi-wavelength/messenger survey data.
引用
@article{arxiv.2607.07413,
title = {SETI's blind spot: Technological Acceleration and fleeting technosignatures},
author = {Michael A. Garrett},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.07413},
year = {2026}
}
备注
4 pages, In Advancing the Search for Technosignatures, Proceedings of IAU Symposium #404 (forthcoming)