English

Misspecified Bernstein-Von Mises theorem for hierarchical models

Statistics Theory 2025-06-05 v2 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We derive a Bernstein von-Mises theorem in the context of misspecified, non-i.i.d., hierarchical models parametrized by a finite-dimensional parameter of interest. We apply our results to hierarchical models containing non-linear operators, including the squared integral operator, and PDE-constrained inverse problems. More specifically, we consider the elliptic, time-independent Schr\"odinger equation with parametric boundary condition and general parabolic PDEs with parametric potential and boundary constraints. Our theoretical results are complemented with numerical analysis on synthetic data sets, considering both the square integral operator and the Schr\"odinger equation.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2308.07803,
  title  = {Misspecified Bernstein-Von Mises theorem for hierarchical models},
  author = {Geerten Koers and Botond Szabó and Aad van der Vaart},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2308.07803},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

30 pages, 4 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T11:56:06.525Z