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Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorems for reversible diffusions

Statistics Theory 2025-05-23 v1 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We establish a general semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorem for Bayesian nonparametric priors based on continuous observations in a periodic reversible multidimensional diffusion model. We consider a wide range of functionals satisfying an approximate linearization condition, including several nonlinear functionals of the invariant measure. Our result is applied to Gaussian and Besov-Laplace priors, showing these can perform efficient semiparametric inference and thus justifying the corresponding Bayesian approach to uncertainty quantification. Our theoretical results are illustrated via numerical simulations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2505.16275,
  title  = {Semiparametric Bernstein-von Mises theorems for reversible diffusions},
  author = {Matteo Giordano and Kolyan Ray},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2505.16275},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

37 pages, 3 figures, 1 table

R2 v1 2026-07-01T02:30:34.168Z