English

On the Bernstein-von Mises phenomenon for nonparametric Bayes procedures

Statistics Theory 2014-10-03 v4 Statistics Theory

Abstract

We continue the investigation of Bernstein-von Mises theorems for nonparametric Bayes procedures from [Ann. Statist. 41 (2013) 1999-2028]. We introduce multiscale spaces on which nonparametric priors and posteriors are naturally defined, and prove Bernstein-von Mises theorems for a variety of priors in the setting of Gaussian nonparametric regression and in the i.i.d. sampling model. From these results we deduce several applications where posterior-based inference coincides with efficient frequentist procedures, including Donsker- and Kolmogorov-Smirnov theorems for the random posterior cumulative distribution functions. We also show that multiscale posterior credible bands for the regression or density function are optimal frequentist confidence bands.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1310.2484,
  title  = {On the Bernstein-von Mises phenomenon for nonparametric Bayes procedures},
  author = {Ismaël Castillo and Richard Nickl},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1310.2484},
  year   = {2014}
}

Comments

Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/14-AOS1246 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org)