English

A variational problem to calculate probabilities

Probability 2025-03-24 v1 Functional Analysis Optimization and Control

Abstract

In this paper, we prove the existence and uniqueness of the conditional expectation of an event AA given a σ\sigma-algebra G\mathcal{G} as a linear problem in the Lebesgue spaces LpL^{p} associated with a probability space through the Riesz Representation Theorems. For the L2L^{2} case, we state the Dirichlet's principle. Then, we extend this principle for specific values of pp, framing the existence of the conditional expectation as a variational problem. We conclude with a proof of the law of total probability using these tools.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2503.16727,
  title  = {A variational problem to calculate probabilities},
  author = {Hugo Guadalupe Reyna-Castañeda and María de los Ángeles Sandoval Romero},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2503.16727},
  year   = {2025}
}

Comments

18 pages, 5 figures

R2 v1 2026-06-28T22:29:05.690Z