On the surjectivity of the conditional expectation given a real random variable
Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the distributions of random couples with real-valued such that any non-negative integrable random variable can be represented as a conditional expectation, , for some non-negative measurable function . It turns out that this representation property is related to the smallness of the support of the conditional law of given , and in particular fails when this conditional law almost surely has a non-zero absolutely continuous component with respect to the Lebesgue measure. We give a sufficient condition for the representation property and check that it is also necessary under some additional assumptions (for instance when or are discrete). We also exhibit a rather involved example where the representation property holds but the sufficient condition does not. Finally, we discuss a weakened representation property where the non-negativity of is relaxed. This study is motivated by the calibration of time-discretized path-dependent volatility models to the implied volatility surface.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.2508.02416,
title = {On the surjectivity of the conditional expectation given a real random variable},
author = {Julien Guyon and Thibault Jeannin and Benjamin Jourdain},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2508.02416},
year = {2025}
}