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A Proper Scoring Rule for Validation of Competing Risks Models

Methodology 2021-04-05 v1

Abstract

Scoring rules are used to evaluate the quality of predictions that take the form of probability distributions. A scoring rule is strictly proper if its expected value is uniquely minimized by the true probability distribution. One of the most well-known and widely used strictly proper scoring rules is the logarithmic scoring rule. We propose a version of the logarithmic scoring rule for competing risks data and show that it remains strictly proper under non-informative censoring.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2104.01000,
  title  = {A Proper Scoring Rule for Validation of Competing Risks Models},
  author = {Zoe Guan},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2104.01000},
  year   = {2021}
}
R2 v1 2026-06-24T00:48:12.064Z