中文

A Machine-Learning-Compatible Omnibus Test for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity

计量经济学 2026-07-07 v1

摘要

This study proposes a formal, computationally efficient nonparametric omnibus test for treatment-effect heterogeneity that is compatible with a broad class of estimators, including modern machine-learning methods. The test is designed for settings in which identification can rely on high-dimensional controls while heterogeneity is assessed with respect to a low-dimensional subset of covariates. We derive the test statistic's asymptotic null distribution and develop a bootstrap procedure that is efficient because it avoids re-estimating nuisance parameters in each iteration. The testing approach applies to multiple empirical designs, including randomized experiments, selection-on-observables, difference-in-differences, and instrumental-variables settings. Monte Carlo simulations show that the test attains near-nominal size under the null and exhibits good power against heterogeneous alternatives. We further illustrate the procedure using two empirical applications on retirement savings and trade liberalization.

引用

@article{arxiv.2607.06412,
  title  = {A Machine-Learning-Compatible Omnibus Test for Treatment Effect Heterogeneity},
  author = {Elia Lapenta and Anthony Strittmatter and Pedro Vergara Merino},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2607.06412},
  year   = {2026}
}

备注

42 pages, 5 figures, 2 tables