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Complex change is often described as "evolutionary" in economics, policy, and technology, yet most system dynamics models remain constrained to fixed state spaces and equilibrium-seeking behavior. This paper argues that evolutionary…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-02-19 Dan Adler

We study fixation in large, but finite, populations with two types, and dynamics governed by birth-death processes. By considering a restricted class of such processes, we derive a continuous approximation for the probability of fixation…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-02 Fabio A. C. C. Chalub , Max O. Souza

We demonstrate with a thought experiment that fitness-based population dynamical approaches to evolution are not able to make quantitative, falsifiable predictions about the long-term behavior of evolutionary systems. A key characteristic…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-05-14 Peter Klimek , Stefan Thurner , Rudolf Hanel

People choose their strategies through a trial-and-error learning process in which they gradually discover that some strategies work better than others. The process can be modelled as an evolutionary game dynamics system, which may be…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-02-21 Wang Zhijian

We analyse the computational complexity of finding Nash equilibria in stochastic multiplayer games with $\omega$-regular objectives. While the existence of an equilibrium whose payoff falls into a certain interval may be undecidable, we…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2010-06-24 Michael Ummels , Dominik Wojtczak

Research regarding the stable marriage and roommate problem has a long and distinguished history in mathematics, computer science and economics. Stability in this context is predominantly core stability or one of its variants in which each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2012-07-17 Haris Aziz

We analyze the stability of a nonlinear dynamical model describing the noncooperative strategic interactions among the agents of a finite collection of populations. Each agent selects one strategy at a time and revises it repeatedly…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-10-21 Murat Arcak , Nuno C. Martins

Experimental economics has repeatedly demonstrated that the Nash equilibrium makes inaccurate predictions for a vast set of games. Instead, several alternative theoretical concepts predict behavior that is much more in tune with observed…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-17 Christian Hilbe

This paper proposes a co-evolutionary model of directed graphs and three opinions, i.e., conservative$(+)$, neutral$(\odot)$ and liberal$(-)$. Agents update both opinions and social relationships with bias. We find that an emergent game…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-07-25 Yakun Wang , Yuan Liu , Bin Wu

We study repeated games where players use an exponential learning scheme in order to adapt to an ever-changing environment. If the game's payoffs are subject to random perturbations, this scheme leads to a new stochastic version of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-10-22 Panayotis Mertikopoulos , Aris L. Moustakas

In complex systems, the interplay between nonlinear and stochastic dynamics, e.g., J. Monod's necessity and chance, gives rise to an evolutionary process in Darwinian sense, in terms of discrete jumps among attractors, with punctuated…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2013-03-18 Hong Qian

Precise description of population game dynamics introduced by revision protocols - an economic model describing the agent's propensity to switch to a better-performing strategy - is of importance in economics and social sciences in general.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-04-22 Jakub Bielawski , Łukasz Cholewa , Fryderyk Falniowski

Evolutionary games on graphs describe how strategic interactions and population structure determine evolutionary success, quantified by the probability that a single mutant takes over a population. Graph structures, compared to the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-05-08 Philipp M. Altrock , Arne Traulsen , Martin A. Nowak

Temporal environmental variations are ubiquitous in nature, yet most of the theoretical works in population genetics and evolution assume fixed environment. Here we analyze the effect of variations in carrying capacity on the fate of a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-12-16 Immanuel Meyer , Nadav M. Shnerb

Finite-size fluctuations arising in the dynamics of competing populations may have dramatic influence on their fate. As an example, in this article, we investigate a model of three species which dominate each other in a cyclic manner.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-12-20 Tobias Reichenbach , Mauro Mobilia , Erwin Frey

In evolutionary game theory, an important measure of a mutant trait (strategy) is its ability to invade and take over an otherwise-monomorphic population. Typically, one quantifies the success of a mutant strategy via the probability that a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-04-12 Alex McAvoy , Christoph Hauert

We propose a stochastic model for evolution. Births and deaths of species occur with constant probabilities. Each new species is associated with a fitness sampled from the uniform distribution on [0,1]. Every time there is a death event…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-11-09 Herve Guiol , Fabio P. Machado , Rinaldo B. Schinazi

To investigate the origin of cooperative behaviors, we developed an evolutionary model of sequential strategies and tested our model with computer simulations. The sequential strategies represented by stochastic machines were evaluated…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Jin Hong Kuan , Aadesh Salecha

We discuss similarities and differences between systems of interacting players maximizing their individual payoffs and particles minimizing their interaction energy. Long-run behavior of stochastic dynamics of spatial games with multiple…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Jacek Miekisz

Horizontal gene transfer consists in exchanging genetic materials between microorganisms during their lives. This is a major mechanism of bacterial evolution and is believed to be of main importance in antibiotics resistance. We consider a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-18 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Méléard , Viet Chi Tran
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