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Related papers: The modeling of the ENSO events with the help of a…

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The El Ni\~{n}o-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a dominant mode of interannual climate variability, yet the mechanisms limiting its long-lead predictability remain unclear. Here we develop a physics-guided Deep Echo State Network (DESN) that…

Seasonal climate forecasts are socioeconomically important for managing the impacts of extreme weather events and for planning in sectors like agriculture and energy. Climate predictability on seasonal timescales is tied to boundary effects…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-06-14 Chenggong Wang , Michael S. Pritchard , Noah Brenowitz , Yair Cohen , Boris Bonev , Thorsten Kurth , Dale Durran , Jaideep Pathak

Munk (1966) showed that the deep (1000-3000 m) vertical temperature profile is consistent with a one-dimensional vertical advection-diffusion balance, with a constant upwelling and an interior diapycnal diffusivity of $\mathcal{O}(10^{-4})$…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-08-29 Madeline D. Miller , Xiaoting Yang , Eli Tziperman

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is a semi-periodic fluctuation in sea surface temperature (SST) over the tropical central and eastern Pacific Ocean that influences interannual variability in regional hydrology across the world…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-01-24 Yumin Liu , Kate Duffy , Jennifer G. Dy , Auroop R. Ganguly

A model-data inversion is applied to a very large observational dataset collected in the Southern Ocean north of the Ross Sea during late autumn to early winter, producing estimates of the frequency-dependent rate of dissipation by sea ice.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-16 W. Erick Rogers , Michael H. Meylan , Alison L. Kohout

The Southern Ocean plays an integral role in the global climate system, exchanging heat, salt, and carbon throughout the major ocean basins via the deep, fast-flowing Antarctic Circumpolar Current. The Antarctic Circumpolar Current is…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-16 Michael C Denes , Shane R Keating , Gary Froyland

Earth's tropics are characterized by quasi-steady precipitation with small oscillations about a mean value, which has led to the hypothesis that moist convection is in a state of quasi-equilibrium (QE). In contrast, very warm simulations of…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2024-10-04 Francisco E. Spaulding-Astudillo , Jonathan L. Mitchell

Arnold's standard circle maps are widely used to study the quasi-periodic route to chaos and other phenomena associated with nonlinear dynamics in the presence of two rationally unrelated periodicities. In particular, the El Nino-Southern…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-27 L. Marangio , J. Sedro , S. Galatolo , A. Di Garbo , M. Ghil

We introduce a novel Earth-like planet surface temperature model (ESTM) for habitability studies based on the spatial-temporal distribution of planetary surface temperatures. The ESTM adopts a surface Energy Balance Model complemented by:…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-24 G. Vladilo , L. Silva , G. Murante , L. Filippi , A. Provenzale

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

We present a formalism for investigating the interaction between pmode oscillations and convection by analyzing realistic, three-dimensional simulations of the near-surface layers of the solar convection zone. By choosing suitable…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-31 Å. Nordlund , R. F. Stein

The NEMO general circulation ocean model is extended to incorporate three physical processes related to ocean surface waves, namely the surface stress (modified by growth and dissipation of the oceanic wave field), the turbulent kinetic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-04-08 Øyvind Breivik , Kristian Mogensen , Jean-Raymond Bidlot , Magdalena Alonso Balmaseda , Peter A. E. M. Janssen

Atmospheric transient eddies and low-frequency flow contribution to the ocean surface wave climate in the North Atlantic during boreal winter is investigated (1980 - 2016). We conduct a set of numerical simulations with a state-of-the-art…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Margarita Markina , Josh Studholme , Sergey Gulev

Earth System Models (ESMs) are essential tools for understanding the impact of human actions on Earth's climate. One key application of these models is studying extreme weather events, such as heat waves or dry spells, which have…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-04-25 Seth Bassetti , Brian Hutchinson , Claudia Tebaldi , Ben Kravitz

Climate models exhibit an approximately invariant surface warming pattern in typical end-of-century projections. This observation has been used extensively in climate impact assessments for fast calculations of local temperature anomalies,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-22 Paolo Giani , Arlene M. Fiore , Glenn Flierl , Raffaele Ferrari , Noelle E. Selin

The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-03-31 Josef Ludescher , Jun Meng , Jingfang Fan

We display a continous equation for the deconvolution process that generalizes the Van Cittert algorithm in the case of oceanic boundary conditions for a given fixed wind. We deduce a LES model for which we have existence and uniqueness of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-09-17 Anne-Claire Bennis , Roger Lewandowski , Edriss S. Titi

The effect caused by the presence of a number of distinct time scales in a simple stochastic model for the Earth's atmosphere temperature fluctuations is studied. The model is described by a dissipative dynamics consisting of a set of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Arturo Berrones

Atmospheric blocking events drive persistent weather extremes in midlatitudes, but isolating the influence of sea surface temperature (SST) from chaotic internal atmospheric variability on these events remains a challenge. We address this…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-06 Zilu Meng , Gregory J. Hakim , Wenchang Yang , Gabriel A. Vecchi

The purpose of this review-and-research paper is twofold: (i) to review the role played in climate dynamics by fluid-dynamical models; and (ii) to contribute to the understanding and reduction of the uncertainties in future climate-change…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Michael Ghil , Mickaël D. Chekroun , Eric Simonnet