The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the most important driver of interannual global climate variability and can trigger extreme weather events and disasters in various parts of the globe. Recently, we have developed two approaches for the early forecasting of El Ni\~no. The climate network-based approach allows forecasting the onset of an El Ni\~no event about 1 year ahead. The complexity-based approach allows additionally to forecast the magnitude of an upcoming El Ni\~no event in the calendar year before. Here we communicate the forecasts of both methods for 2022.
@article{arxiv.2102.02192,
title = {Climate network and complexity based El Ni\~no forecast for 2022},
author = {Josef Ludescher and Jun Meng and Jingfang Fan},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.02192},
year = {2022}
}
Comments
9 pages, 5 figures; the update contains the El Nino prediction for 2022. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1910.14642