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The El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is the strongest driver of interannual global climate variability and can lead to extreme weather events like droughts and flooding. Additionally, ENSO influences the mean global temperature with…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-02-04 J. Ludescher , J. Meng , J. Fan , A. Bunde , H. J. Schellnhuber

The temperature in the transient climate response is lower than the equilibrium temperature for the same amount of forcing. The degree of disequilibrium is not constant in time and depends on various climate parameters. We derive intuition…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-03 Boriana Chtirkova

We suggest a way of rationalizing an intra-seasonal oscillations (IOs) of the Earth atmospheric flow as four meteorological relevant triads of interacting planetary waves, isolated from the system of all the rest planetary waves. Our model…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-11-11 Elena Kartashova , Victor S. L'vov

The solar torsional oscillations, i.e., the perturbations of the angular velocity of rotation associated with the eleven-year activity cycle, are a manifestation of the interaction among the interior magnetic fields, amplified and modulated…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 Antonino F. Lanza

Though the Boltzmann-Gibbs framework of equilibrium statistical mechanics has been successful in many arenas, it is clearly inadequate for describing many interesting natural phenomena driven far from equilibrium. The simplest step towards…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-10-15 Jeffrey B. Weiss , Baylor Fox-Kemper , Dibyendu Mandal , Arin D. Nelson , R. K. P. Zia

The Global Overturning Circulation (GOC) is a key component of the climate system, transporting heat, carbon, and salt throughout the global ocean. Previous reduced-dimensional models have sought to represent this three-dimensional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-23 Elian Vanderborght , Henk A. Dijkstra

Dominant modes of SST in the west and east Pacific show strong but regionally different gradients caused by waves, internal dynamics, and anthropogenic warming, which drives air-sea interaction in the Pacific. The study discusses the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-07-08 Lekshmi S , Rajib Chattopadhyay , D. S. Pai , M. Rajeevan , Vinu Valsala , K. S. Hosalikar , M. Mohapatra

We show that the monthly recorded history (1878-2013) of the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI), a descriptor of the El Ni\~no Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon, can be well described as a dynamic system that supports an average…

Geophysics · Physics 2018-05-21 H. F. Astudillo , R. Abarca-del-Rio , F. A. Borotto

Understanding ENSO dynamics has tremendously improved over the past decades. However, one aspect still poorly understood or represented in conceptual models is the ENSO diversity in spatial pattern, peak intensity, and temporal evolution.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-08 Yinling Zhang , Nan Chen , Jerome Vialard , Xianghui Fang

This work is motivated by a desire to understand transitions between stable equilibria observed in Stommel's 1961 thermohaline circulation model. We adapt the model, including a forcing parameter as a dynamic slow variable. The resulting…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-07-11 Andrew Roberts , Raj Saha

Westerly wind bursts (WWBs) have long been known to have a major impact on the development of El Ni\~no events. In particular, they amplify these events, with stronger events associated with a higher number of WWBs. We further find…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-30 Georg A. Gottwald , Eli Tziperman , Alexey Fedorov

In situ and remotely sensed observations have potential to facilitate data-driven predictive models for oceanography. A suite of machine learning models, including regression, decision tree and deep learning approaches were developed to…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-06-24 Stefan Wolff , Fearghal O'Donncha , Bei Chen

The dynamics and momentum budget of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) are examined in the ERA5 reanalysis and compared with those in ERA-I. Because of ERA5's higher spatial resolution it is capable of resolving a broader spectrum of…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-12-15 Hamid A. Pahlavan , Qiang Fu , John M. Wallace , George N. Kiladis

Oceanic tides are a major source of tidal dissipation. They are a key actor for the orbital and rotational evolution of planetary systems, and contribute to the heating of icy satellites hosting a subsurface ocean. Oceanic tides are…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2018-11-26 Pierre Auclair-Desrotour , Stéphane Mathis , Jacques Laskar , Jérémy Leconte

The numerical simulations of planetary dynamos still operate in a regime very far from the planets. For example, it seems unlikely that viscous forces are at all significant in planetary interiors, yet some of the simulations display a…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-18 P A Davidson

During the last ice age several quasi-periodic abrupt warming events took place. Known as Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events their effects were felt globally, although the North Atlantic experienced the largest temperature anomalies.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2015-02-24 Raj Saha

In climate modelling, the reality of simulated flows in the middle atmosphere is largely affected by the model's representation of gravity wave processes that are unresolved, while these processes are usually simplified to facilitate…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-26 Young-Ha Kim , Georg S. Voelker , Gergely Bölöni , Günther Zängl , Ulrich Achatz

In this paper, we investigate the wave solutions of a stochastic rotating shallow water model. This approximate model provides an interesting simple description of the interplay between waves and random forcing ensuing either from the wind…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-05-02 Etienne Mémin , Long Li , Noé Lahaye , Gilles Tissot , Bertrand Chapron

Orbital forcing plays a key role in pacing the glacial-interglacial cycles. However, the mechanistic linkages between the orbital parameters - eccentricity, obliquity, and precession - and global ice volume remain unclear. Here, we…

Geophysics · Physics 2023-12-05 Liam Wheen , Oscar Benjamin , Thomas Gernon , Cameron Hall , Jerry Wright

We study the relationship between the El Ni\~no--Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian summer monsoon in ensemble simulations from state-of-the-art climate models, the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) and the Community…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-11-16 Mátyás Herein , Gábor Drótos , Tamás Bódai , Frank Lunkeit , Valerio Lucarini
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