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This paper studies the fill probabilities of limit orders placed at different price levels in a limit order book. These probabilities play a central role in execution optimization, as limit orders are not guaranteed to be executed and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-09 Felix Lokin , Fenghui Yu

Several models of stock trading [P. Bak et al, Physica A {\bf 246}, 430 (1997)] are analyzed in analogy with one-dimensional, two-species reaction-diffusion-branching processes. Using heuristic and scaling arguments, we show that the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Lei-Han Tang , Guang-Shan Tian

The first-passage time is proposed as an independent thermodynamic parameter of the statistical distribution that generalizes the Gibbs distribution. The theory does not include the determination of the first passage statistics itself. A…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-08-22 V. V. Ryazanov

This paper is devoted to the important yet little explored subject of the market impact of limit orders. Our analysis is based on a proprietary database of metaorders - large orders that are split into smaller pieces before being sent to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-17 Emilio Said , Ahmed Bel Hadj Ayed , Alexandre Husson , Frédéric Abergel

We shortly review the statistical properties of the escape times, or hitting times, for stock price returns by using different models which describe the stock market evolution. We compare the probability function (PF) of these escape times…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 Bernardo Spagnolo , Davide Valenti

We present an empirical analysis of the microstructure of financial markets and, in particular, of the static and dynamic properties of liquidity. We find that on relatively large time scales (15 minutes) large price fluctuations are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Francesco Corradi , Andrea Zaccaria , Luciano Pietronero

Processes involving bursts of activity separated by quiescent periods occur across diverse systems and scales. In human dynamics, these phenomena have been described by power-law inter-event time distributions, $P(t)\sim t^{-\alpha}$, with…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2026-04-17 Morten Møller , Philipp Rahe , Sadegh Ghaderzadeh , Elena Besley , Philip Moriarty

In this paper we present a novel approach to the determination of fat tails in financial data by studying the information contained in the limit order book. In an order-driven market buyers and sellers may submit limit orders, which are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Alex Langnau , Yanko Punchev

In two previous papers the author developed a second-order price adjustment (t\^atonnement) process. This paper extends the approach to include both quantity and price adjustments. We demonstrate three results: a analogue to physical…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-17 Eric Kemp-Benedict

Apparently random financial fluctuations often exhibit varying levels of complexity, chaos. Given limited data, predictability of such time series becomes hard to infer. While efficient methods of Lyapunov exponent computation are devised,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-08 Varsha S. Kulkarni

We address the problem of executing large client orders in continuous double-auction markets under time and liquidity constraints. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) framework that balances three competing objectives: order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Thomas P. McAuliffe , Samuel Liew , Yuchao Li , Andrey Ushenin , Chihang Wang , Alexandros Tasos , Jack Pearce , Dimitris Tasoulis , Dimitri P. Bertsekas , Theodoros Tsagaris

We study a finite-horizon dynamic pricing problem for event tickets with limited inventory and time-varying demand. The central practical difficulty is that the total demand function $L(t)$ is not observed directly and must be estimated…

General Economics · Economics 2026-04-16 Lev Razumovskiy , Nikolay Karenin , Mikhail Safro

We study the rare event behavior of the workload process in a transitory queue, where the arrival epochs (or points) of a finite number of jobs are assumed to be the ordered statistics of independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-24 Harsha Honnappa

In biochemical reaction networks, the first passage time (FPT) of a reaction quantifies the time it takes for the reaction to first occur, from the initial state. While the mean FPT historically served as a summary metric, a far more…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-03-07 Changqian Rao , David Waxman , Wei Lin , Zhuoyi Song

We investigate the statistics of the first-passage time (FPT) to a fractal self-similar boundary of the Koch snowflake. When the starting position is fixed near the absorbing boundary, the FPT distribution exhibits an apparent power-law…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-15 Yilin Ye , Adrien Chaigneau , Denis S. Grebenkov

We study Linear Temporal Logic Modulo Theories over Finite Traces (LTLfMT), a recently introduced extension of LTL over finite traces (LTLf) where propositions are replaced by first-order formulas and where first-order variables referring…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Luca Geatti , Alessandro Gianola , Nicola Gigante , Sarah Winkler

The mean first passage time~(MFPT) of random walks is a key quantity characterizing dynamic processes on disordered media. In a random fractal embedded in the Euclidean space, the MFPT is known to obey the power law scaling with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-12-07 Hyun-Myung Chun , Sungmin Hwang , Byungnam Kahng , Heiko Rieger , Jae Dong Noh

One characterization of a chaotic system is the quick delocalization of quantum information (fast scrambling). One therefore expects that in such a system a state quickly becomes locally indistinguishable from its perturbations. In this…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2018-08-01 Yuya O. Nakagawa , Gábor Sárosi , Tomonori Ugajin

In this paper we derive a second order approximation for an infinite dimensional limit order book model, in which the dynamics of the incoming order flow is allowed to depend on the current market price as well as on a volume indicator…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-05 Ulrich Horst , Dörte Kreher

A methodology is developed to identify, as units of study, each decrease in the value of a stock from a given maximum price level. A critical level in the amount of price declines is found to separate a segment operating under a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 Leopoldo Sánchez-Cantú , Carlos Arturo Soto-Campos , Andriy Kryvko