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The transition to First-Price Auctions (FPA) in digital advertising has spurred significant research, yet existing work typically assumes access to a valuation oracle, ignoring the reality that values must be inferred from censored data.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Zihao Hu , Yuxiao Wen , Yuan Yao , Jiheng Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou

In this paper, we study various new Hawkes processes, namely, so-called general compound and regime-switching general compound Hawkes processes to model the price processes in the limit order books. We prove Law of Large Numbers (LLN) and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-29 Anatoliy Swishchuk

We study the problem of the execution of a moderate size order in an illiquid market within the framework of a solvable Markovian model. We suppose that in order to avoid impact costs, a trader decides to execute her order through a unique…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-09 Iacopo Mastromatteo

The Barab\'asi's priority queuing model [A.-L. Barab\'asi, Nature \textbf{435}, 207 (2005)] and its variants have been extensively studied to understand heavy-tailed distributions of the inter-event times and the response times observed in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-16 Hang-Hyun Jo

The call auction is a widely used trading mechanism, especially during the opening and closing periods of financial markets. In this paper, we study a standard call auction problem where orders are submitted according to Poisson processes,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-15 Ioane Muni Toke

High Frequency Trading (HFT) represents an ever growing proportion of all financial transactions as most markets have now switched to electronic order book systems. The main goal of the paper is to propose continuous time equations which…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-10 Rene Carmona , Kevin Webster

Renewal processes with heavy-tailed power law distributed sojourn times are commonly encountered in physical modelling and so typical fluctuations of observables of interest have been investigated in detail. To describe rare events the rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-26 Wanli Wang , Johannes H. P. Schulz , Weihua Deng , Eli Barkai

We propose a modeling framework for the dynamics of a reduced form order book in event time and based on event sizes. Our framework for the order book is influenced by [9], but compared to [9] we allow the best bid ask spread to be larger…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-21 Kaj Nyström , Sidi Mohamed Ould Aly

The first passage times for enzymatic turnovers in non-equilibrium steady state display a statistical symmetry property related to non-equilibrium fluctuation theorems, that makes it possible to extract the chemical driving force from…

Biological Physics · Physics 2008-12-10 Martin Lindén

We consider a stochastic lost-sales inventory control system with a lead time $L$ over a planning horizon $T$. Supply is uncertain, and is a function of the order quantity (due to random yield/capacity, etc). We aim to minimize the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-11-01 Boxiao Chen , Jiashuo Jiang , Jiawei Zhang , Zhengyuan Zhou

English words and the outputs of many other natural processes are well-known to follow a Zipf distribution. Yet this thoroughly-established property has never been shown to help compress or predict these important processes. We show that…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-04 Moein Falahatgar , Ashkan Jafarpour , Alon Orlitsky , Venkatadheeraj Pichapati , Ananda Theertha Suresh

Despite the fact that an intraday market price distribution is not normal, the random walk model of price behaviour is as important for the understanding of basic principles of the market as the pendulum model is a starting point of many…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-08-14 Oleh Danyliv , Bruce Bland , Alexandre Argenson

Real-time time-dependent density functional theory (TDDFT) is presently the most accurate available method for computing electronic stopping powers from first principles. However, obtaining application-relevant results often involves either…

Materials Science · Physics 2023-07-10 Alina Kononov , Thomas Hentschel , Stephanie B. Hansen , Andrew D. Baczewski

We study the mean first passage time of a one-dimensional random walker with step sizes decaying exponentially in discrete time. That is step sizes go like $\lambda^{n}$ with $\lambda\leq1$ . We also present, for pedagogical purposes, a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Tonguç Rador , Sencer Taneri

We study the distribution of first passage time (FPT) in Levy type of anomalous diffusion. Using recently formulated fractional Fokker-Planck equation we obtain three results. (1) We derive an explicit expression for the FPT distribution in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Govindan Rangarajan , Mingzhou Ding

We introduce a new stochastic duration model for transaction times in asset markets. We argue that widely accepted rules for aggregating seemingly related trades mislead inference pertaining to durations between unrelated trades: while any…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-05-20 Samuel Gingras , William J. McCausland

The determination of mean first-passage time (MFPT) for random walks in networks is a theoretical challenge, and is a topic of considerable recent interest within the physics community. In this paper, according to the known connections…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-01-30 Zhongzhi Zhang , Yi Qi , Shuigeng Zhou , Shuyang Gao , Jihong Guan

Many human-related activities show power-law decaying interevent time distribution with exponents usually varying between 1 and 2. We study a simple task-queuing model, which produces bursty time series due to the nontrivial dynamics of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-10-22 Szabolcs Vajna , Bálint Tóth , János Kertész

In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2011-09-14 Antje Fruth , Torsten Schoeneborn , Mikhail Urusov

The first passage time (FPT) problem is studied for superstatistical models assuming that the mesoscopic system dynamics is described by a Fokker-Planck equation. We show that all moments of the random intensive parameter associated to the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-01-30 Adrián A. Budini , Manuel O. Cáceres