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We study an online market-making problem in which a learner sequentially posts bid and ask prices for a single asset while interacting with traders holding private valuations. Unlike existing online learning formulations that assume fully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Davide Maran , Marcello Restelli

Many physical, chemical, and biological systems depend on the first passage time (FPT) of a diffusive searcher to a target. Typically, this FPT is much slower than the characteristic diffusion timescale. For example, this is the case if the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Jacob B. Madrid , Sean D. Lawley

Extensive computer simulations are performed for a few model glass-forming liquids in both two and three dimensions to study their dynamics when a randomly chosen fraction of particles are frozen in their equilibrium positions. For all the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-03 Saurish Chakrabarty , Rajsekhar Das , Smarajit Karmakar , Chandan Dasgupta

We propose a new model for the level I of a Limit Order Book (LOB), which incorporates the information about the standing orders at the opposite side of the book after each price change and the arrivals of new orders within the spread. Our…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-15 Jonathan A. Chávez-Casillas , José E. Figueroa-López

Many scientific questions can be framed as asking for a first passage time (FPT), which generically describes the time it takes a random "searcher" to find a "target." The important timescale in a variety of biophysical systems is the time…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-18 Hwai-Ray Tung , Sean D Lawley

We study the statistics of the first-passage time of a single run and tumble particle (RTP) in one spatial dimension, with or without resetting, to a fixed target located at $L>0$. First, we compute the first-passage time distribution of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-03-20 Gennaro Tucci , Andrea Gambassi , Satya N. Majumdar , Gregory Schehr

We extend the random walk framework to include compounded steps, providing first-passage time (FPT) properties for a new class of superdiffusive processes, which are governed by the space-fractional spectral Fokker-Planck equation. This…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-04-14 Christopher N. Angstmann , Daniel S. Han , Bruce I. Henry , Boris Z. Huang

Many biological, social, and communication systems can be modeled by ``searchers'' moving through a complex network. For example, intracellular cargo is transported on tubular networks, news and rumors spread through online social networks,…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-04 Sean D Lawley

We observe the effects of the three different events that cause spread changes in the order book, namely trades, deletions and placement of limit orders. By looking at the frequencies of the relative amounts of price changing events, we…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-24 Stephan Grimm , Thomas Guhr

Based on the analysis of probability flow, where the First Passage (FP) is realised as the sink of probability, we summarise the protocol to find the distribution of the First Passage Time (FTP). We also describe the corresponding formula…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-30 Ken Sekimoto

Commonly used limit order book attributes are empirically considered based on NASDAQ ITCH data. It is shown that some of them have the properties drastically different from the ones assumed in many market dynamics study. Because of this…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-31 Vladislav Gennadievich Malyshkin , Ray Bakhramov

An exclusion particle model is considered as a highly simplified model of a limit order market. Its price behavior reproduces the well known crossover from over-diffusion (Hurst exponent H>1/2) to diffusion (H=1/2) when the time horizon is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-08-31 R. D. Willmann , G. M. Schuetz , D. Challet

Tracking the movement of tracer particles has long been a strategy for uncovering complex structures. Here, we study discrete-time random walks on finite Cayley trees to infer key parameters such as tree depth and geometric bias toward the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-01 Fabian H. Kreten , Ludger Santen , Reza Shaebani

We derive expressions for the first three moments of the decision time (DT) distribution produced via first threshold crossings by sample paths of a drift-diffusion equation. The "pure" and "extended" diffusion processes are widely used to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-26 Vaibhav Srivastava , Philip Holmes , Patrick Simen

We study the problem of random search in finite networks with a tree topology, where it is expected that the distribution of the first-passage time F(t) decays exponentially. We show that the slope of the exponential tail is independent of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-11-22 M. Reza Shaebani , Robin Jose , Christian Sand , Ludger Santen

The first passage time for a single diffusing particle has been studied extensively, but the first passage time of a system of many diffusing particles, as is often the case in physical systems, has received little attention until recently.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-22 Jacob B. Hass , Ivan Corwin , Eric I. Corwin

We determine the full distribution and moments of the first passage time for a wide class of stochastic search processes in the limit of frequent stochastic resetting. Our results apply to any system whose short-time behavior of the search…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-02-22 Samantha Linn , Sean D Lawley

We analyze a tractable model of a limit order book on short time scales, where the dynamics are driven by stochastic fluctuations between supply and demand. We establish the existence of a limiting distribution for the highest bid, and for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-24 Frank Kelly , Elena Yudovina

Market impact is a key concept in the study of financial markets and several models have been proposed in the literature so far. The Transient Impact Model (TIM) posits that the price at high frequency time scales is a linear combination of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-09 Damian Eduardo Taranto , Giacomo Bormetti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Fabrizio Lillo , Bence Toth

It is a challenging task to identify the best possible models based on given empirical data of observed time series. Though the financial markets provide us with a vast amount of empirical data, the best model selection is still a big…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Vygintas Gontis
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