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We investigate the (functional) convex order of for various continuous martingale processes, either with respect to their diffusions coefficients for L\'evy-driven SDEs or their integrands for stochastic integrals. Main results are bordered…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-07-24 Gilles Pagès

We discuss the asymptotic behaviour of risk-based indifference prices of European contingent claims in discrete-time financial markets under volatility uncertainty as the number of intermediate trading periods tends to infinity. The…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-04 Jonas Blessing , Michael Kupper , Alessandro Sgarabottolo

We formulate and analyze an inverse problem using derivatives prices to obtain an implied filtering density on volatility's hidden state. Stochastic volatility is the unobserved state in a hidden Markov model (HMM) and can be tracked using…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-07 Carlos Fuertes , Andrew Papanicolaou

We introduce a new class of neural networks designed to be convex functions of their inputs, leveraging the principle that any convex function can be represented as the supremum of the affine functions it dominates. These neural networks,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-21 Vincent Lemaire , Gilles Pagès , Christian Yeo

Research in quantitative finance has demonstrated that reinforcement learning (RL) methods have delivered promising outcomes in the context of hedging financial portfolios. For example, hedging a portfolio of European options using RL…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener

We introduce a novel distribution-based estimator for the Hurst parameter of log-volatility, leveraging the Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic to assess the scaling behavior of entire distributions rather than individual moments. To address the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-04 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini

This paper proposes a numerical method for pricing foreign exchange (FX) options in a model which deals with stochastic interest rates and stochastic volatility of the FX rate. The model considers four stochastic drivers, each represented…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-05 Fazlollah Soleymani , Andrey Itkin

Balancing the trade-off between safety and efficiency is of significant importance for path planning under uncertainty. Many risk-aware path planners have been developed to explicitly limit the probability of collision to an acceptable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Fei Meng , Liangliang Chen , Han Ma , Jiankun Wang , Max Q. -H. Meng

In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-30 Juho Kanniainen , Martin Magris

Implicit Neural representations (INRs) are widely used for scientific data reduction and visualization by modeling the function that maps a spatial location to a data value. Without any prior knowledge about the spatial distribution of…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Haoyu Li , Han-Wei Shen

In this paper, we present a method for constructing a (static) portfolio of co-maturing European options whose price sign is determined by the skewness level of the associated implied volatility. This property holds regardless of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Sergey Nadtochiy , Jan Obloj

We study the problem of excess risk evaluation for empirical risk minimization (ERM) under convex losses. We show that by leveraging the idea of wild refitting, one can upper bound the excess risk through the so-called "wild optimism,"…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-26 Haichen Hu , David Simchi-Levi

Model risk measures consequences of choosing a model in a class of possible alternatives. We find analytical and simulated bounds for payoff functions on classes of plausible alternatives of a given discrete model. We measure the impact of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-20 Roberto Fontana , Patrizia Semeraro

We consider the problem of option pricing under stochastic volatility models, focusing on the linear approximation of the two processes known as exponential Ornstein-Uhlenbeck and Stein-Stein. Indeed, we show they admit the same limit…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-23 Giacomo Bormetti , Valentina Cazzola , Danilo Delpini

Datasets with extreme observations and/or heavy-tailed error distributions are commonly encountered and should be analyzed with careful consideration of these features from a statistical perspective. Small deviations from an assumed model,…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-12 Meadhbh O'Neill , Kevin Burke

In this paper, we consider estimating spot/instantaneous volatility matrices of high-frequency data collected for a large number of assets. We first combine classic nonparametric kernel-based smoothing with a generalised shrinkage technique…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-22 Ruijun Bu , Degui Li , Oliver Linton , Hanchao Wang

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have recently emerged as an alternative way of solving partial differential equations (PDEs) without the need of building elaborate grids, instead, using a straightforward implementation. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dongkun Zhang , Lu Lu , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

This paper studies the equal risk pricing (ERP) framework for the valuation of European financial derivatives. This option pricing approach is consistent with global trading strategies by setting the premium as the value such that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-26 Alexandre Carbonneau , Frédéric Godin

Robust yield curve estimation is crucial in fixed-income markets for accurate instrument pricing, effective risk management, and informed trading strategies. Traditional approaches, including the bootstrapping method and parametric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-27 Sina Molavipour , Alireza M. Javid , Cassie Ye , Björn Löfdahl , Mikhail Nechaev

The ability of a deep learning network to distinguish between in-distribution (ID) and out-of-distribution (OOD) inputs is crucial for ensuring the reliability and trustworthiness of AI systems. Existing OOD detection methods often involve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Gagandeep Singh , Ishan Mishra , Deepak Mishra
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