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Statistical methods for causal inference with continuous treatments mainly focus on estimating the mean potential outcome function, commonly known as the dose-response curve. However, it is often not the dose-response curve but its…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Yikun Zhang , Yen-Chi Chen

Non-equilibrium phenomena occur not only in physical world, but also in finance. In this work, stochastic relaxational dynamics (together with path integrals) is applied to option pricing theory. A recently proposed model (by Ilinski et…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Matthias Otto

We consider an asset whose risk-neutral dynamics are described by a general class of local-stochastic volatility models and derive a family of asymptotic expansions for European-style option prices and implied volatilities. Our implied…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-12-01 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

We propose a method to assess the intrinsic risk carried by a financial position $X$ when the agent faces uncertainty about the pricing rule assigning its present value. Our approach is inspired by a new interpretation of the quasiconvex…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-17 Marco Frittelli , Marco Maggis

We use a continuous version of the standard deviation premium principle for pricing in incomplete equity markets by assuming that the investor issuing an unhedgeable derivative security requires compensation for this risk in the form of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

This paper demonstrates a practical method for computing the solution of an expectation-constrained robust maximization problem with immediate applications to model-free no-arbitrage bounds and super-replication values for many financial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-06 Christopher W. Miller

The principle of absence of arbitrage opportunities allows obtaining the distribution of stock price fluctuations by maximizing its information entropy. This leads to a physical description of the underlying dynamics as a random walk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-31 Rosario Bartiromo

Steepest descent algorithms, which are commonly used in deep learning, use the gradient as the descent direction, either as-is or after a direction shift using preconditioning. In many scenarios calculating the gradient is numerically hard…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Gal Lifshitz , Dan Raviv

Stochastic volatility modelling of financial processes has become increasingly popular. The proposed models usually contain a stationary volatility process. We will motivate and review several nonparametric methods for estimation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

The key objective of this paper is to develop an empirical model for pricing SPX options that can be simulated over future paths of the SPX. To accomplish this, we formulate and rigorously evaluate several statistical models, including…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-24 Alessio Brini , David A. Hsieh , Patrick Kuiper , Sean Moushegian , David Ye

Value-at-risk (VaR) has been playing the role of a standard risk measure since its introduction. In practice, the delta-normal approach is usually adopted to approximate the VaR of portfolios with option positions. Its effectiveness,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-22 Junyao Chen , Tony Sit , Hoi Ying Wong

We introduce a variant of the Barndorff-Nielsen and Shephard stochastic volatility model where the non Gaussian Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process describes some measure of trading intensity like trading volume or number of trades instead of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Friedrich Hubalek , Petra Posedel

Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have recently also been applied to solve partial differential equations (PDEs). In this work, the classical problem of pricing European and American financial options, based on the corresponding PDE…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-26 Beatriz Salvador , Cornelis W. Oosterlee , Remco van der Meer

We consider two kinds of stochastic volatility models. Both kinds of models contain a stationary volatility process, the density of which, at a fixed instant in time, we aim to estimate. We discuss discrete time models where for instance a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Bert van Es , Peter Spreij , Harry van Zanten

While physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have been proven effective for low-dimensional partial differential equations (PDEs), the computational cost remains a hurdle in high-dimensional scenarios. This is particularly pronounced when…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Zheyuan Hu , Zhouhao Yang , Yezhen Wang , George Em Karniadakis , Kenji Kawaguchi

We devise a novel method for nowcasting implied volatility based on neural operators. Better known as implied volatility smoothing in the financial industry, nowcasting of implied volatility means constructing a smooth surface that is…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Ruben Wiedemann , Antoine Jacquier , Lukas Gonon

We study off-policy evaluation in the setting of contextual bandits, where we aim to evaluate a new policy using historical data that consists of contexts, actions and received rewards. This historical data typically does not faithfully…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Rong J. B. Zhu

In this article we present a new approach to the numerical valuation of derivative securities. The method is based on our previous work where we formulated the theory of pricing in terms of tradables. The basic idea is to fit a finite…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-12-30 Jiri Hoogland , Dimitri Neumann

We propose a new financial model, the stochastic volatility model with sticky drawdown and drawup processes (SVSDU model), which enables us to capture the features of winning and losing streaks that are common across financial markets but…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-20 Yuhao Liu , Pingping Jiang , Gongqiu Zhang

We develop a novel deep learning approach for pricing European basket options written on assets that follow jump-diffusion dynamics. The option pricing problem is formulated as a partial integro-differential equation, which is approximated…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-10 Emmanuil H. Georgoulis , Antonis Papapantoleon , Costas Smaragdakis
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