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Identifying tropical cyclones that generate destructive storm tides for risk assessment, such as from large downscaled storm catalogs for climate studies, is often intractable because it entails many expensive Monte Carlo hydrodynamic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-01-07 Grace Jiang , Jiangchao Qiu , Sai Ravela

Climate models are essential for assessing the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on our changing climate and the resulting increase in the frequency and severity of natural disasters. Despite the widespread acceptance of climate models…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Vsevolod Morozov , Artem Galliamov , Aleksandr Lukashevich , Antonina Kurdukova , Yury Maximov

There is a clear positive correlation between boreal summer tropical Atlantic sea-surface temperature and annual hurricane numbers. This motivates the idea of trying to predict the sea-surface temperature in order to be able to predict…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Thomas Laepple , Stephen Jewson

The main goal of this article is to introduce new quantitative characteristics of cycles in finite simple connected graphs and to establish relations of these characteristics with the stretch and spanning tree congestion of graphs. The main…

We propose a generic model of eco-systems, with a {\it hierarchical} food web structure. In our computer simulations we let the eco-system evolve continuously for so long that that we can monitor extinctions as well as speciations over…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-10 Debashish Chowdhury , Dietrich Stauffer

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

Bayesian statistical models were developed for the number of tropical cyclones and the rate at which these cyclones became hurricanes in the North Atlantic. We find that, controlling for the cold tongue index and the North Atlantic…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-11-13 William M. Briggs

As a complement to experimental and theoretical approaches, numerical modeling has become an important component to study asteroid collisions and impact processes. In the last decade, there have been significant advances in both…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2019-08-07 Martin Jutzi , Keith Holsapple , Kai Wünneman , Patrick Michel

Conventional hurricane track generation methods typically depend on biased outputs from Global Climate Models (GCMs), which undermines their accuracy in the context of climate change. We present a novel dynamic bias correction framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Reda Snaiki , Teng Wu

Tropical cyclones can be of varied intensity and cause a huge loss of lives and property if the intensity is high enough. Therefore, the prediction of the intensity of tropical cyclones advance in time is of utmost importance. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-08 Koushik Biswas , Sandeep Kumar , Ashish Kumar Pandey

A most important aspect in the field of traffic modeling is the simulation of bottleneck situations. For their realistic description a macroscopic multi-lane model for uni-directional freeways including acceleration, deceleration, velocity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Dirk Helbing

I present a new framework for modeling the dynamics of tidal streams. The framework consists of simple models for the initial action-angle distribution of tidal debris, which can be straightforwardly evolved forward in time. Taking…

Astrophysics of Galaxies · Physics 2014-10-17 Jo Bovy

This study introduces a novel torus-to-torus regression framework to improve the analysis and prediction of cyclone-driven wind-wave directional dynamics. This research, to our knowledge, establishes a mathematical framework for modeling…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-02 Surojit Biswas , Buddhananda Banerjee

Improving statistical forecasts of tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is limited by complex nonlinear interactions and difficulty in identifying relevant predictors. Conventional methods prioritize correlation or fit, often overlooking…

Ice storms are extreme weather events that can have devastating implications for the sustainability of natural ecosystems as well as man made infrastructure. Ice storms are caused by a complex mix of atmospheric conditions and are among the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-05-15 Ranjini Swaminathan , Mohan Sridharan , Katharine Hayhoe

The fundamental interaction between tropical cyclones was investigated through a series of water tank experiements by Fujiwhara [20, 21, 22]. However, a complete understanding of tropical cyclones remains an open research challenge although…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-08-24 Raymond P Walsh , Jahrul M Alam

This is the third part of a series of studies that model the target trajectory, which describes the target state evolution over continuous time, as a sample path of a stochastic process (SP). By adopting a deterministic-stochastic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-13 Tiancheng Li , Jingyuan Wang , Guchong Li , Dengwei Gao

Epidemic models are useful tools in the fight against infectious diseases, as they allow policy makers to test and compare various strategies to limit disease transmission while mitigating collateral damage on the economy. Epidemic models…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-18 Joseph D. Peterson , Ronojoy Adhikari

A birth-death lattice gas model about the influence of an environment on the fitness and concentration evolution of economic entities is analytically examined. The model can be mapped onto a high order logistic map. The control parameter is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-10-03 J. Miśkiewicz , M. Ausloos

We introduce and study a special class of ideals, called tropical ideals, in the semiring of tropical polynomials, with the goal of developing a useful and solid algebraic foundation for tropical geometry. The class of tropical ideals…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2019-02-20 Diane Maclagan , Felipe Rincón