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We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-05 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

We present a simple model of a stock market where a random communication structure between agents gives rise to a heavy tails in the distribution of stock price variations in the form of an exponentially truncated power-law, similar to…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-01-14 Rama Cont , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper, we revisit the relationship between investors' utility functions and portfolio allocation rules. We derive portfolio allocation rules for asymmetric Laplace distributed $ALD(\mu,\sigma,\kappa)$ returns and compare them with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

We suggest that the broad distribution of time scales in financial markets could be a crucial ingredient to reproduce realistic price dynamics in stylised Agent-Based Models. We propose a fractional reaction-diffusion model for the dynamics…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-14 Michael Benzaquen , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

A new model for stock price fluctuations is proposed, based upon an analogy with the motion of tracers in Gaussian random fields, as used in turbulent dispersion models and in studies of transport in dynamically disordered media. Analytical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 James P. Gleeson

The herd behavior of returns is investigated in Korean futures exchange market. It is obtained that the probability distribution of returns for three types of herding parameter scales as a power law $R^{-\beta}$ with the exponents $…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Yup Kim

We introduce and solve a model that mimics the herding effect in financial markets when groups of agents share information. The number of agents in the model is growing and at each time step either (i) with probability $p$ an incoming agent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 G. J. Rodgers , Dafang Zheng

Building on similarities between earthquakes and extreme financial events, we use a self-organized criticality-generating model to study herding and avalanche dynamics in financial markets. We consider a community of interacting investors,…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-17 Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda , Dirk Helbing

We provide closed-form market equilibrium formula consolidating informational imperfections and investors beliefs. Based on Merton's model, we characterize the equilibrium expected excess returns vector with incomplete information. We then…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-14 Hafid Lalioui , Amine Ben Amar , Makram Bellalah

This paper mainly utilizes the ARDL model and principal component analysis to investigate the relationship between the volatility of China's Shanghai Composite Index returns and the variables of exchange rate and domestic and foreign bond…

General Economics · Economics 2025-01-16 Jingchu Zhang

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-04 Tomasz J. Kozubowski , Andrey Sarantsev , James A. Spiker

The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets in the version proposed by Giulia Iori in 2002 has been herein extended. We have introduced the increase of herding behaviour by modelling the altering trust of an agent in his…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-17 Jan A. Lipski , Ryszard Kutner

We propose a model for stochastic formation of opinion clusters, modelled by an evolving network, and herd behaviour to account for the observed fat-tail distribution in returns of financial-price data. The only parameter of the model is h,…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Victor M. Eguiluz , Martin G. Zimmermann

We introduce the term net-proliferation in the context of fisheries and establish relations between the proliferation and net-proliferation that are economically and sustainably favored. The resulting square root laws are analytically…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-24 Jerzy Filar , Sabrina Streipert

Recent studies have revealed a number of striking dependence patterns in high frequency stock price dynamics characterizing probabilistic interrelation between two consequent price increments x (push) and y (response) as described by the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Andrei Leonidov , Vladimir Trainin , Alexander Zatsev , Sergey Zaitsev
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