Three-state herding model of the financial markets
Trading and Market Microstructure
2013-02-05 v3 Physics and Society
Abstract
We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with power-law probability density function of the absolute returns we are able to reproduce the fractured power spectral density, which is observed in the high-frequency financial market data. Given example of consistent agent-based and stochastic modeling will provide background for the further developments in the research of complex social systems.
Keywords
Cite
@article{arxiv.1210.1838,
title = {Three-state herding model of the financial markets},
author = {Aleksejus Kononovicius and Vygintas Gontis},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1210.1838},
year = {2013}
}
Comments
11 pages, 3 figures