English

Three-state herding model of the financial markets

Trading and Market Microstructure 2013-02-05 v3 Physics and Society

Abstract

We propose a Markov jump process with the three-state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with power-law probability density function of the absolute returns we are able to reproduce the fractured power spectral density, which is observed in the high-frequency financial market data. Given example of consistent agent-based and stochastic modeling will provide background for the further developments in the research of complex social systems.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1210.1838,
  title  = {Three-state herding model of the financial markets},
  author = {Aleksejus Kononovicius and Vygintas Gontis},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1210.1838},
  year   = {2013}
}

Comments

11 pages, 3 figures