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Related papers: Three-state herding model of the financial markets

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We derive a system of stochastic differential equations simulating the dynamics of the three agent groups with herding interaction. Proposed approach can be valuable in the modeling of the complex socio-economic systems with similar…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-17 Vygintas Gontis , Aleksejus Kononovicius

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

We investigate the volatility return intervals in the NYSE and FOREX markets. We explain previous empirical findings using a model based on the interacting agent hypothesis instead of the widely-used efficient market hypothesis. We derive…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-26 Vygintas Gontis , Shlomo Havlin , Aleksejus Kononovicius , Boris Podobnik , H. Eugene Stanley

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

In complex financial systems, the sector structure and volatility clustering are respectively important features of the spatial and temporal correlations. However, the microscopic generation mechanism of the sector structure is not yet…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-09 Jun-Jie Chen , Lei Tan , Bo Zheng

We present examples of agent-based and stochastic models of competition and business processes in economics and finance. We start from as simple as possible models, which have microscopic, agent-based, versions and macroscopic treatment in…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-31 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis , Valentas Daniunas

The three-state agent-based 2D model of financial markets as proposed by Giulia Iori has been extended by introducing increasing trust in the correctly predicting agents, a more realistic consultation procedure as well as a formal…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-17 Jan A. Lipski , Ryszard Kutner

A characteristic feature of complex systems in general is a tight coupling between their constituent parts. In complex socio-economic systems this kind of behavior leads to self-organization, which may be both desirable (e.g. social…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-29 Aleksejus Kononovicius , Vygintas Gontis

In this paper, we study the herding phenomena in financial markets arising from the combined effect of (1) non-coordinated collective interactions between the market players and (2) concurrent reactions of market players to dynamic market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-05 Hyeong-Ohk Bae , Seung-yeon Cho , Sang-hyeok Lee , Seok-Bae Yun

We introduce and solve a model that mimics the herding effect in financial markets when groups of agents share information. The number of agents in the model is growing and at each time step either (i) with probability $p$ an incoming agent…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 G. J. Rodgers , Dafang Zheng

Agent-based modeling is a powerful simulation technique to understand the collective behavior and microscopic interaction in complex financial systems. Recently, the concept for determining the key parameters of the agent-based models from…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-21 T. T. Chen , B. Zheng , Y. Li , X. F. Jiang

We introduce the stochastic multiplicative point process modelling trading activity of financial markets. Such a model system exhibits power-law spectral density S(f) ~ 1/f**beta, scaled as power of frequency for various values of beta…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Vygintas Gontis , Bronislovas Kaulakys

Multi-agent systems can be successfully described by kinetic models, which allow one to explore the large scale aggregate trends resulting from elementary microscopic interactions. The latter may be formalised as collision-like rules, in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-11-06 Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

Simulation serves as a third way of doing science, in contrast to both induction and deduction. The web based modeling may considerably facilitate the execution of simulations by other people. We present examples of agent-based and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-04-15 V. Daniunas , V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

We propose a three-state microscopic opinion formation model for the purpose of simulating the dynamics of financial markets. In order to mimic the heterogeneous composition of the mass of investors in a market, the agent-based model…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-14 Bernardo J. Zubillaga , André L. M. Vilela , Chao Wang , Kenric P. Nelson , H. Eugene Stanley

In this paper, we propose a statistical aggregation method for agent-based models with heterogeneous agents that interact both locally on a complex adaptive network and globally on a market. The method combines three approaches from…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-04 Jakob J. Kolb , Finn Müller-Hansen , Jürgen Kurths , Jobst Heitzig

One approach to the analysis of stochastic fluctuations in market prices is to model characteristics of investor behaviour and the complex interactions between market participants, with the aim of extracting consequences in the aggregate.…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Erhan Bayraktar , Ulrich Horst , Ronnie Sircar

Background: For complex financial systems, the negative and positive return-volatility correlations, i.e., the so-called leverage and anti-leverage effects, are particularly important for the understanding of the price dynamics. However,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-22 Jun-jie Chen , Bo Zheng , Lei Tan

We propose a model for equity trading in a population of agents where each agent acts to achieve his or her target stock-to-bond ratio, and, as a feedback mechanism, follows a market adaptive strategy. In this model only a fraction of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-14 Misha Perepelitsa , Ilya Timofeyev
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