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We study the relation between the trading behavior of agents and volatility in toy markets of adaptive inductively rational agents. We show that excess volatility, in such simplified markets, arises as a consequence of {\em i)} the neglect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 M. Marsili , D. Challet

The average economic agent is often used to model the dynamics of simple markets, based on the assumption that the dynamics of many agents can be averaged over in time and space. A popular idea that is based on this seemingly intuitive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-29 Sebastian M. Krause , Stefan Boerries , Stefan Bornholdt

Increased day-trading activity and the subsequent jump in intraday volatility and trading volume fluctuations has raised considerable interest in models for financial market microstructure. We investigate the random transitions between two…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Muffasir Badshah , Robert Boyer , Ted Theodosopoulos

We describe a new model to simulate the dynamic interactions between market price and the decisions of two different kind of traders. They possess spatial mobility allowing to group together to form coalitions. Each coalition follows a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Filippo Castiglione

In a previous paper, we applied a field formalism to analyze capital allocation and accumulation within a microeconomic framework of investors and firms. The financial connections were modeled by a field of stakes, representing the links…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2025-11-14 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz

We develop original models to study interacting agents in financial markets and in social networks. Within these models randomness is vital as a form of shock or news that decays with time. Agents learn from their observations and learning…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-07-14 Ionel Popescu , Tushar Vaidya

A microeconomic approach is proposed to derive the fluctuations of risky asset price, where the market participants are modeled as prospect trading agents. As asset price is generated by the temporary equilibrium between demand and supply,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-31 Yipeng Yang , Allanus Tsoi

We consider long-lived agents who interact repeatedly in a social network. In each period, each agent learns about an unknown state by observing a private signal and her neighbors' actions from the previous period before choosing her own…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-08-19 Florian Brandl

We address the problem of banking system resilience by applying off-equilibrium statistical physics to a system of particles, representing the economic agents, modelled according to the theoretical foundation of the current banking…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-04 João P. da Cruz , Pedro G. Lind

The dynamics of many socioeconomic systems is determined by the decision making process of agents. The decision process depends on agent's characteristics, such as preferences, risk aversion, behavioral biases, etc.. In addition, in some…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Gabriella Vaglica , Fabrizio Lillo , Esteban Moro , Rosario N. Mantegna

Agent-based models provide a constructive approach to studying emergent dynamics in life-like systems composed of interacting, adaptive agents. Financial markets serve as a canonical example of such systems, where collective price dynamics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-28 Ryuji Hashimoto , Ryosuke Takata , Masahiro Suzuki , Yuki Tanaka , Kiyoshi Izumi

We consider a social system of interacting heterogeneous agents with learning abilities, a model close to Random Field Ising Models, where the random field corresponds to the idiosyncratic willingness to pay. Given a fixed price, agents…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-13 Viktoriya Semeshenko , Mirta B. Gordon , Jean-Pierre Nadal

The reproduction of realistic dynamics in financial markets is of great significance, as it enhances our understanding of market evolution beyond other physical processes, and facilitates the development and backtesting of investment…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Tianlang He , Fengming Zhu , Keyan Lu , Chang Xu , Yang Liu , Weiqing Liu , Fangzhen Lin , S. -H. Gary Chan , Jiang Bian

The question how social norms can emerge from microscopic interactions between individuals is a key problem in social sciences to explain collective behavior. In this paper we propose an agent-based model to show that randomly distributed…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2008-09-07 Thomas Fent , Patrick Groeber , Frank Schweitzer

This paper provides a general method to translate a standard economic model with a large number of agents into a field-formalism model. This formalism preserves the system's interactions and microeconomic features at the individual level…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-29 Pierre Gosselin , Aïleen Lotz

Quantitative analysis of empirical data from online social networks reveals group dynamics in which emotions are involved (\v{S}uvakov et al). Full understanding of the underlying mechanisms, however, remains a challenging task. Using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-05-30 Milovan Šuvakov , David Garcia , Frank Schweitzer , Bosiljka Tadić

We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 Matteo Marsili , Maurizio Piai

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a model with volatility driven by fractional noise has been constructed which provides a fairly accurate mathematical parametrization of the data.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-08-31 R. Vilela Mendes

This paper presents an agent based model of an electronic market with two types of trading agents. One type follows a mean reverting strategy and the other, the speculative trader, tracks the maximum realised return over recent trades. The…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-22 Nicolas Cofre , Magdalena Mosionek-Schweda

We present a novel microscopic stock market model consisting of a large number of random agents modeling traders in a market. Each agent is characterized by a set of parameters that serve to make iterated predictions of two successive…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2009-11-07 R. Rothenstein , K. Pawelzik